A story line has developed around the presidential campaign of Hillary Clinton that seems to affect how each new event is interpreted by journalists and the public. It’s variously described as a lack of transparency or even obfuscation. … A few of my colleagues at the University of California, Los […] Read more »
Independent Voters Are Overrated
Some election watchers treat independent voters like the golden key to open up Star World in “Super Mario World.” If you know who is winning independents, the thinking goes, then you know who is going to win the election. There’s an appealing simplicity to the logic of this: If Democrats […] Read more »
As Clinton-Trump Race Tightens, Here’s How Forecast Models Differ
Over the past three weeks, Hillary Clinton’s chances to win the presidency have fallen. Her lead over Donald J. Trump has shrunk to between one and four percentage points nationwide, depending on which polls you count, and which candidates are included. … In The Upshot’s model, Mrs. Clinton’s chances to […] Read more »
Both Trump and Clinton seen as risky choices
… With 54 days to go to Election Day, many voters describe electing either candidate as a risky choice for the country, although more say that about Trump (67 percent) than Clinton (51 percent). A near unanimous percentage of each candidate’s supporters see the opposition as a risky choice. CONT. […] Read more »
Voters’ View of a Donald Trump Presidency: Big Risks and Rewards
Most voters consider Donald J. Trump a risky choice for president, saying he lacks the right temperament and values, but he is seen as more transformative and better at handling the economy than Hillary Clinton, according to the latest New York Times/CBS News poll. Mrs. Clinton, despite being as disliked […] Read more »
Hillary’s Self-Inflicted Headwinds
When it comes to the current political environment, Hillary Clinton couldn’t ask for much better. The president sits at a 50 percent approval rating. Gas is just a little over $2. A new income and poverty report released on Tuesday by the Census Bureau showed that median incomes rose 5.2 […] Read more »