… In 2016, one of the problems in state polls was that Trump voters turned out more heavily than many pollsters expected. In 2017, one of the problems with the polls in Virginia was that Democrats turned out more heavily than many pollsters expected. Those Democrats elected not only Northam […] Read more »
Final picks for 2018: Democrats in House; Republicans in Senate; Democrats big in gubernatorial races; be on guard for upsets
… Our expectations for this election have been consistent for the past several months. We favor the Democrats in the House and Republicans in the Senate, and we expect the Democrats to pick up a significant share of governorships. Our picks follow. We’ve also included an “upset watch” listing in […] Read more »
Election night could go into overtime
… For those of you hoping the 2018 midterms will end on Election Day, I have some bad news: It’s possible that we go into overtime. I’m not just talking recounts. I’m talking about runoff elections in Georgia and Mississippi. CONT. Harry Enten, CNN Read more »
Florida Governor’s Race: Andrew Gillum and Ron DeSantis
Florida. Its close elections are legendary. And this year, the governor’s race may be no exception. After an upset victory in a crowded primary field, the Democrat Andrew Gillum is running on an unapologetically progressive platform. Ron DeSantis, the Republican, is a strong supporter of President Trump. It’s a race of political […] Read more »
CNN poll: Close Senate races in Florida and Tennessee before Election Day
Florida voters are almost evenly split on both the state’s Senate and gubernatorial contests, while the Senate contest in Tennessee appears to be shifting in the Republican’s favor, according to new CNN polls conducted by SSRS. CONT. Grace Sparks, CNN Read more »
Where things stand less than a week out
We have great news for everyone. In just six days, the 2020 presidential campaign will begin! (No, we’re really not kidding.) But before then, we have the small matter of the 2018 midterm to settle. We’re still agonizing over our final picks in the closest House, Senate, and gubernatorial races. […] Read more »