Democratic candidates enjoyed strong support from lesbian, gay, bisexual and transgender voters nationwide on Tuesday, according to the NBC News Exit Poll. LGBT people made up 6 percent of the electorate in the midterms, and 82 percent of them cast their ballot for their district’s Democratic candidate for the House […] Read more »
Two Electorates, Two Outcomes
It’s rare that both parties can celebrate after an election, but that’s exactly the situation after Republicans gained a handful of Senate seats and Democrats picked up over 30 House seats Tuesday night. Conservatives, white men (particularly those without a college degree) and pro-Trump voters backed GOP nominees, while women […] Read more »
Negative on Trump, divided on issues, voters reshuffle the cards in Washington
A divided outcome fit a divided nation in the 2018 midterms, with the House flipping Democratic, the Senate staying Republican and the voters sharply split on partisan, ideological and demographic lines. The focus of the election, Donald Trump, came in where he’s been since taking office: underwater in job approval, […] Read more »
Our Final Forecast In The Senate, House And Gubernatorial Races
Happy Election Day! The last of the polls are in, and it’s finally pencils down for FiveThirtyEight’s 2018 midterm forecast. Here are our final forecasts: CONT. Nathaniel Rakich, FiveThirtyEight Read more »
Democrats are likely to do very well in governors’ races
Much of the attention on Election Night will be on the battle for control in Congress, but there will also be 36 governors’ races across the country. Republicans currently control 26 of these seats compared to Democrats’ nine and one independent. If the polling is correct, there will be a […] Read more »
Democrats have slight edge in close Florida Senate, governor races
On the eve of Election Day, Democrats have a slight edge in Florida’s high-stakes Senate and gubernatorial contests, a new NBC News/Marist poll finds. At the top of the ticket, Democrat Andrew Gillum is up among likely voters against Republican Ron DeSantis, 50 percent to 46 percent, within the poll’s […] Read more »