Donald Trump keeps his lead in winner-take-all Florida, at 44 percent over Ted Cruz’s 24 percent and Marco Rubio’s 21 percent. In Ohio, Governor John Kasich is tied with Trump 33 percent to 33 percent, in two of the big winner-take-all delegate prizes up on Tuesday. … On the Democratic […] Read more »
Trump Ahead in Florida, Illinois; Kasich Leads in Ohio
Donald Trump leads the Republican presidential field in the March 15 primary states of Florida and Illinois, while John Kasich holds the edge in his home state of Ohio, according to three new NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist polls. On the Democratic side, meanwhile, Hillary Clinton leads Bernie Sanders in all […] Read more »
Focus Group: CNN Republican debate
A focus group assembled by Frank Luntz found that the best moment of tonight’s debate was when Marco Rubio spoke about sending terrorists to Guantanamo Bay. Fox News Watch the latest video at video.foxnews.com Read more »
A Simple Model for Predicting Hillary Clinton’s Vote in the March 15 Democratic Primaries
A simple model based on two predictors — the racial composition of the Democratic primary electorate and a dummy variable for region — explain over 90% of the variance in Hillary Clinton’s vote share in this year’s Democratic primaries through March 8. The results of a regression analysis of Clinton’s […] Read more »
Health Quality An Issue For Poor, 2 Years Into Obamacare
A series of polls in key states by NPR and its partners finds that more than half of adults in the U.S. believe the Affordable Care Act has either helped the people of their state or has had no effect. Those sentiments are common despite all the political wrangling that […] Read more »
These States Could Pick the GOP Nominee, Each for Different Reasons
… As Republicans gathered for their latest debate in Las Vegas this week, more GOP strategists believe their presidential marathon is evolving toward a three-way contest that could divide the party along sharp demographic and geographic lines well into 2016. CONT. Ronald Brownstein, National Journal Read more »