As the presidential race enters its final days, competition remains fierce in two of the most important battleground states, with former vice president Joe Biden holding a slight lead over President Trump in Pennsylvania and the two candidates in a virtual dead heat in Florida, according to two Washington Post-ABC […] Read more »
Florida maintains toss-up status while Biden leads slightly in Pennsylvania
The pandemic versus the economy defines the presidential contest in two key battlegrounds, with Florida holding firm to its toss-up status while Joe Biden leads slightly in Pennsylvania in the season’s final ABC News/Washington Post polls. … Both states have been spared the worst of the current surge in coronavirus […] Read more »
Why Trump needs more than a 2016 polling miss to win
The 2020 election is down to the home stretch. And like most of the year, former Vice President Joe Biden continues to lead President Donald Trump nationally and in the swing states that matter. There are some who dismiss the polls because of their perceived inaccuracies in 2016. But while […] Read more »
Trump gets his best poll of the cycle. Here’s how to put it in perspective.
… Let’s start with the poll that has every poll junkie buzzing tonight: the vaunted Des Moines Register/Ann Selzer poll of Iowa. If it’s not President Trump’s best poll of the cycle, I’m not sure what is: Mr. Trump led by seven points, 48 percent to 41 percent, in a […] Read more »
Trump Can Still Win, But The Polls Would Have To Be Off By Way More Than In 2016
To borrow from Cook Political Report’s Dave Wasserman, “I’ve seen enough.” No, I don’t know who’s going to win the election. According to our forecast, President Trump still has a chance at a second term: a 10 percent chance, to be more specific. But — even though we’ll still get […] Read more »
CNN Polls: Biden leads in Michigan and Wisconsin as campaign ends, with tighter races in Arizona and North Carolina
Former Vice President Joe Biden holds an advantage in the upper Midwest states of Wisconsin and Michigan, according to CNN Polls conducted by SSRS, but the race between Biden and President Donald Trump is tighter in the battlegrounds of Arizona and North Carolina. … White voters with college degrees in […] Read more »