The Big Reason Republicans Should Hope Jeb Bush Runs

Florida has been an afterthought in electoral politics over the last few cycles, but it is positioned to return to the forefront. No state looms larger as the Republican Party mulls its future. It’s not just because two of the party’s top presidential hopefuls — Jeb Bush and Marco Rubio […] Read more »

Midterm Election Turnout Isn’t So Different From Presidential Year Turnout

Spend enough time around pundits and you’ll hear somebody say, “It’s all about turnout.” Who shows up to vote, and those voters’ demographics, is the great mystery of any election. The conventional wisdom is that the demographics of the voting pool are friendlier to Democrats in presidential years than they […] Read more »

Democratic, Republican voters worlds apart in divided Wisconsin

In the acrid and escalating clash between red and blue America, there is no battleground quite like metropolitan Milwaukee. Spectacularly divided, remarkably mobilized, frequently fought over, its politically lopsided communities have been veering apart for more than 40 years. Democrats and Republicans aren’t just strangers to each other in their […] Read more »

Bursting the Democrats’ Midterm-Turnout Bubble

The Democratic midterm turnout problem is no secret. Young and nonwhite voters tend to stay home in off-year elections, leaving the electorate older, whiter and more Republican than in a presidential election. … Strong turnout operations can help Democrats at the margins. The Democratic turnout problem, however, is not marginal. […] Read more »