After a day of headline-making testimony in the House impeachment inquiry, the contenders for the Democratic nomination squared off in their fifth debate. The candidates largely eschewed talk of impeachment and mostly avoided the kind of conflict that characterized previous debates. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the […] Read more »
Who’s most electable? Don’t trust polls that match Democratic candidates against Trump.
With another Democratic debate behind us and with the Iowa primary caucuses inching closer, Democrats are continuing to debate the candidates’ electability — and who has the best shot at beating President Trump. Much of this debate focuses on polls that ask Americans how they would vote if the president […] Read more »
Pete Buttigieg Is in Bad Shape With Black Democrats. Here’s How Bad.
Former Vice President Joseph R. Biden Jr. has 154 endorsements from current or former black or Hispanic elected officials. Senator Kamala Harris has 93. Senator Bernie Sanders has 91. Senator Cory Booker has 50. Senator Elizabeth Warren has 43. Mayor Pete Buttigieg has six. The South Bend, Ind., mayor has […] Read more »
Sticking with Sanders: on the road with his campaign
On this week’s episode of “Where Did You Get This Number?”, Anthony briefly updates the listeners on the impeachment hearings before going into Bernie Sanders’ 2020 presidential campaign. Why does he have the highest % of “strong supporters”? What’s his long-term game plan? Where Did You Get This Number? CBS […] Read more »
Iowa: Warren slipping as Buttigieg continues to surge
Support for Sen. Elizabeth Warren has dropped by nearly 10% over the past month, according to the latest Iowa State University/Civiqs poll of Democratic presidential candidates. At the same time, the percentage of likely Iowa caucus-goers who do not want Warren to get the nomination jumped by 5%. CONT. Iowa […] Read more »
Kentucky: When Trump’s coattails just weren’t enough
In the recent Kentucky gubernatorial election, incumbent Gov. Matt Bevin (R) lost by fewer than 5,200 votes to Attorney Gen. Andy Beshear (D) in a state that President Donald Trump (R) carried by about 30 percentage points in 2016. Although the national parties tried their best to turn the race […] Read more »