… The Democratic Party has trended strongly to the left in the past two decades: At the start of the millennium, Democrats were most likely to call themselves moderates, but now more than half identify as liberal, according to Gallup polling. But a stronger ideological consolidation has happened on the […] Read more »
Democrats Were Both Lucky and Good in the Off-Year Elections
With Saturday’s gubernatorial runoff in Louisiana, the 2019 odd-year elections are now in the record books. Did Democrats capturing the governorship of Kentucky and reelecting a governor in Louisiana, though coming up short in Mississippi, mean anything? Are these results canaries in the proverbial coal mine or just random events? […] Read more »
In DNC Debate, Race Played a Starring Role
Wednesday night’s DNC debate in Atlanta lacked energy or candidate engagement that many anticipated. … However, this doesn’t mean we didn’t see any friction on the debate stage. There was a concerted effort by the two African-American candidates in the race, Sens. Cory Booker and Kamala Harris, to put a […] Read more »
Failing to Decipher Black Voters
… I believe deeply that much of the Democratic field is still struggling — and failing — to decipher what animates the bulk of black voters. As much as I believe in polling and its ability to uncover information, I don’t believe that the way black people are polled is […] Read more »
Democratic Primaries: Preferential Poll Results
There are many fine public opinion polls, but their value can be limited in a crowded primary contest, months out from the election. Since our job is building technology to measure the impact of campaigns, we wanted to apply the tools we’ve built to understand a set of questions that […] Read more »
Democrats would be most enthusiastic about a female nominee. Republicans? A businessman.
.. In numerous polls, Democratic primary voters have indicated that they are most concerned about picking a candidate who can defeat President Trump next year. So far, that’s bolstered the candidacy of former vice president Joe Biden, who is leading in the polls and is generally considered the most electable […] Read more »