When the Washington Post/ABC News poll released last week showed President Trump’s approval down to 36 percent, we (and others) cautioned that more polling over a longer period of time would tell if this was simply a blip or if Trump’s myriad scandals — plus his boorish conduct regarding national […] Read more »
Ahead of midterms, Democrats lead in cash, candidates and voters
Labor Day traditionally begins the homestretch of a campaign season, or the moment when uninterested voters actually tune into the election. As the runners near the last turn in 2018, the numbers show some clear trends: An enthusiastic electorate, a diverse pool of candidates and a solid advantage for Democrats […] Read more »
Democrats’ uphill House climb isn’t as steep as we thought
… Importantly, the generic ballot is one of a number of tools that can be used to figure out how many seats each party will win in the House. On this measure Democrats have picked up ground since the beginning of the year. For a slew of reasons (gerrymandering, Democratic voters […] Read more »
Impeachment talk has perils for both parties
The recent convictions of President Trump’s former campaign chairman Paul Manafort and his longtime lawyer Michael Cohen have pushed talk of a possible impeachment proceeding to a new level. Right now, it’s potentially tricky territory for both parties. A new Washington Post-ABC News poll finds that 49 percent of all […] Read more »
Trump’s Approval Number Nose-Dives, Dems’ Blue Wave Might Be Building: IBD/TIPP Poll
Just 36% say they approve of the job President Trump is doing, a 5-point drop from last month, according to the latest IBD/TIPP poll. Fifty six percent disapprove of Trump’s job performance, up from 53% the month before. … Trump’s sagging approval appears to be improving Democrats chances of taking […] Read more »
Poll Hub: Arizona & Florida: Breaking Down the Primary Results
That’s a wrap! The Poll Hub team breaks down Tuesday’s midterm election primaries in Arizona and Florida. Was Martha McSally’s win in the Republican primary for U.S. Senate in Arizona really a slam dunk? And surprise! Andrew Gillum won the Democratic primary for Florida governor. What happened? Plus the Poll […] Read more »