Democrats are at high risk of losing control of Congress next year, and the perilous outlook is shaping party strategy on every level, a modern illustration of the old saw: Nothing focuses the mind like the sight of the gallows. Defending fragile House and Senate majorities in the 2022 midterm […] Read more »
Want a different U.S. Senate? Elect different senators
The Democratic-led Senate is heading toward showdowns on two critical pieces of legislation: President Biden’s ambitious infrastructure plan and a bill to stop state legislatures from making it harder to vote. But there’s a roadblock in the Democrats’ way, and it’s not Republican leader Mitch McConnell. It’s Joe Manchin III, […] Read more »
Democratic Report Raises 2022 Alarms on Messaging and Voter Outreach
Democrats defeated President Donald J. Trump and captured the Senate last year with a racially diverse coalition that delivered victories by tiny margins in key states like Georgia, Arizona and Wisconsin. In the next election, they cannot count on repeating that feat, a new report warns. A review of the […] Read more »
Why Democrats may defy history and win the 2022 midterms
Democrats have to defy history to hold onto the House in the 2022 midterms. As I’ve noted before, the president’s party almost always loses House seats in the midterms. History, though, is a guide, not a fortune teller. This week’s special election in New Mexico’s 1st congressional district is part […] Read more »
Reading the Tea Leaves in the NM-01 Special Election
On Tuesday, Democrat state Rep. Melanie Stansbury cruised to victory in the special election to fill the Albuquerque-based House seat of former Democratic Rep. (and now Interior Secretary) Deb Haaland. That Stansbury would win this seat was never really in doubt. Instead, the bigger question was whether she’d be able […] Read more »
Global Warming and Clean Energy as Government Priorities
Drawing on a nationally representative survey (n = 1,037; including 922 registered voters), this report describes how registered voters view a variety of climate and energy policies. The survey was fielded from March 18 – 29, 2021. This report focuses on U.S. domestic policy, building on our report released in […] Read more »