Key Points• Democrats turned in an impressive victory in Tuesday night’s special election in NM-1. This comes a month after Republicans scored an impressive performance of their own in the first round of the TX-6 special.• Democratic performance represented an improvement over both Barack Obama and Joe Biden’s showings in […] Read more »
A More Cautious Approach To Special Elections
At this point two years ago, all eyes were on the special election in Georgia’s 6th Congressional District. By Election Day on June 20, 2017, more than $55M had been spent in the race to replace former GOP Rep./HHS Secretary Tom Price in this suburban Atlanta district. … Before that, […] Read more »
How violent crime and abortion could reshape the 2022 midterm elections
As the public becomes increasingly confident that the pandemic is subsiding and the economy is on the mend, social issues are coming to the fore, and developments in two such areas—crime and abortion—could reshape the playing field for the 2022 midterm elections. When Joe Biden was sworn in as president, […] Read more »
In summer, the stakes are rising for Biden
Can President Joe Biden avoid the “summer slump”? For most Americans, the unofficial arrival of summer with Memorial Day is a cause for celebration. But for newly elected presidents, it’s more often been a reason for dread. Sagging job approval ratings, unanticipated challenges at home and abroad and, above all, […] Read more »
How Young G.O.P. Leaders Sold Out Their Generation
Once upon a time, a shiny new trio of young conservatives — Ryan Costello, Carlos Curbelo and Elise Stefanik — wanted to help build a modern, millennial Republican Party. The 30-somethings, all sworn into Congress in 2015, understood that millennials often agreed on many of the nation’s core problems, and […] Read more »
What New Mexico’s special election can tell us about the midterms
Tuesday’s special election to represent New Mexico’s 1st District in Congress is just one race. No matter who wins — likely the Democratic candidate Melanie Stansbury — control of Congress won’t change. Yet, this race will also be one of our first insights into the political environment a little more […] Read more »