As readers of this blog know, I am not wild about public polls – they tend to focus people on the “horse race” at the expense of other areas of the campaign and way too often their read of the horse race or of changes in it are misleading. Nonetheless, […] Read more »
Why Republicans are in trouble: Trump and the abortion issue aren’t going away
Donald Trump is now in a stronger position to win the 2024 Republican presidential nomination than he has been in months as his party rallies around him following his indictment by a New York grand jury on business fraud charges. But actual results on the ground continue to suggest that […] Read more »
How abortion changes election maps
A Wisconsin election set the stage last week for Democrats to act on a range of issues in the state, from gerrymandering to election access — but the biggest driving force behind the result was abortion. Abortion has been illegal in Wisconsin since the U.S. Supreme Court overturned Roe v. […] Read more »
Abortion was a 50/50 issue. Now, it’s Republican quicksand.
Conservatives are finding out the hard way that abortion isn’t a 50-50 issue anymore. Janet Protasiewicz’s 11-point blowout victory this week for a state Supreme Court seat in Wisconsin was just the latest example of voters who support abortion rights outnumbering — and outvoting — their opponents. … Going back […] Read more »
Abortion, Trump and Swing Voters
Democrats are happily watching from the sidelines as the Republican Party continues to be defined by two issues that turn off swing voters: Donald Trump and abortion. The more Trump is in the news, the better for Democrats. President Biden’s job approval ratings are a less-than-robust 43%, and poll after […] Read more »
With Protasiewicz win, Democrats flip the Wisconsin Supreme Court
Key Points• In last night’s high-stakes state Supreme Court race in Wisconsin, Democratic-aligned Janet Protasiewicz comfortably dispatched former Justice Daniel Kelly, giving liberals a 4-3 majority on the court.• Compared to some previous Democratic-aligned judges, Protasiewicz had a more “nationalized” voting coalition, although she still carried several Republican-leaning parts of […] Read more »