The story of Liz Cheney’s soon-to-be ouster from party leadership is about many things. First and foremost, of course, it’s about Donald Trump and his iron grip on the party. It’s also about history and dynasty. … We aren’t just witnessing the end of Cheney’s time in leadership; we are […] Read more »
Republicans should disband if they don’t win back the House in 2022
Failure, disappointment and embarrassment. Those three feelings should come to mind for Republicans if they don’t win the House majority in 2022. Democrats have their narrowest majority in more than a generation, and Republicans have redistricting and history on their side in the midterm elections. There’s really no excuse for […] Read more »
The Six Factors That Will Shape 2022
In politics, as in weather, there can be a sudden change in the prevailing winds. Take the last three weeks before November’s elections, when a narrow but pivotal slice of voters, mostly independents, got cold feet about giving Democrats the big win that had appeared to be almost certain. Perhaps […] Read more »
The Next Hundred: 10 Things to Know About Team Biden & the Future
Political analysis, by Bruce Mehlman of Mehlman Castagnetti Rosen & Thomas. CONTINUED — pdf The OPINION TODAY email newsletter is a concise daily rundown of significant new poll results and insightful analysis. It’s FREE. Sign up here: opiniontoday.substack Read more »
How the economy is turning into a strength for Biden
… Biden, it seems, is getting at least some of the credit for what voters see as an increasingly good economy. The CNN poll put his approval rating on the economy at 50% among voters. This was about equal to his overall approval rating in the poll of 52% with […] Read more »
Can Democrats Avoid a Wipeout in 2022?
The good news for Democrats who watched Joe Biden unveil a historically ambitious agenda last night is that newly elected presidents have almost always passed some version of their core economic plan—particularly when their party controls both congressional chambers, as Biden’s does now. The bad news: Voters have almost always […] Read more »