Reporters love writing about the persistence of the Trump coalition. I sense it’s partly out of surprise and wonder. Like most college educated Americans, reporters have trouble believing there are people who still stand by this president, despite all the lies, all the chaos, all the broken promises, all the […] Read more »
More than half of Americans think Trump will lose in 2020
A majority of Americans think President Donald Trump will lose his re-election bid in 2020, according to a new CNN poll conducted by SSRS, similar numbers to those facing former President Barack Obama at this point in his first term ahead of his re-election victory. CONT. Ryan Struyk, CNN Read more »
Should Democrats Embrace the Center or Abandon It?
Over the next six months, Democratic voters will be asked again and again whether their party’s candidates should hew to the center or move to the left. How voters answer that question will help shape the strategic plans of the dozen or more Democrats jockeying to beat President Trump in […] Read more »
Women and young voters will decide the 2018 elections. If they actually vote.
President Trump continues to define the political conversation of the country with Twitter blasts, public statements and often alarming reports of his behind-the-scenes behavior and moods. But two groups of voters — women and young people — will define the politics of this year, and probably 2020 as well. These […] Read more »
How Trump’s campaign may have offloaded spending on polling to a nonprofit
… America First Policies does a lot of polling, which CNBC stumbled across by following a link on the group’s website. … “America First Policies, which actively advocates for policies favored by Trump, denied that any of the documents, many of which are labeled ‘confidential,’ were intended to benefit the […] Read more »
The Ultimate Crowded Field
No president has been so consistently unpopular so early in his term as Donald Trump. Though there are three years left to improve them, these weak numbers are a bad sign for his reelection prospects. The political betting marketplace PredictIt gives him just 1-in-3 odds of winning in 2020. Little […] Read more »