Will Trump lose the GOP nomination?

Reporters love writing about the persistence of the Trump coalition.

I sense it’s partly out of surprise and wonder. Like most college educated Americans, reporters have trouble believing there are people who still stand by this president, despite all the lies, all the chaos, all the broken promises, all the racism, all the stupidity. …

In fact, Trump averaged 85 percent approval among Republicans in March. To put that in perspective, Barack Obama averaged a lesser 80 percent approval among Democrats at the comparable point in his presidency — a comparison that puts Trump’s ratings in a favorable light. Moreover, Trump’s ratings among his co-partisans are only a few points lower today than they were when he began his term.

So far, these data seem to confirm the conventional story line: Trump has retained the support of his base in spite of everything. Former Trumpers seem an infinitesimally small group.

However, there is another side to this tale. CONT.

Mark Mellman (Mellman Group), The Hill