… I believe deeply that much of the Democratic field is still struggling — and failing — to decipher what animates the bulk of black voters. As much as I believe in polling and its ability to uncover information, I don’t believe that the way black people are polled is […] Read more »
Democratic Primaries: Preferential Poll Results
There are many fine public opinion polls, but their value can be limited in a crowded primary contest, months out from the election. Since our job is building technology to measure the impact of campaigns, we wanted to apply the tools we’ve built to understand a set of questions that […] Read more »
Democrats would be most enthusiastic about a female nominee. Republicans? A businessman.
.. In numerous polls, Democratic primary voters have indicated that they are most concerned about picking a candidate who can defeat President Trump next year. So far, that’s bolstered the candidacy of former vice president Joe Biden, who is leading in the polls and is generally considered the most electable […] Read more »
How The Fifth Democratic Debate Could Affect The Race
After a day of headline-making testimony in the House impeachment inquiry, the contenders for the Democratic nomination squared off in their fifth debate. The candidates largely eschewed talk of impeachment and mostly avoided the kind of conflict that characterized previous debates. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the […] Read more »
Who’s most electable? Don’t trust polls that match Democratic candidates against Trump.
With another Democratic debate behind us and with the Iowa primary caucuses inching closer, Democrats are continuing to debate the candidates’ electability — and who has the best shot at beating President Trump. Much of this debate focuses on polls that ask Americans how they would vote if the president […] Read more »
Sticking with Sanders: on the road with his campaign
On this week’s episode of “Where Did You Get This Number?”, Anthony briefly updates the listeners on the impeachment hearings before going into Bernie Sanders’ 2020 presidential campaign. Why does he have the highest % of “strong supporters”? What’s his long-term game plan? Where Did You Get This Number? CBS […] Read more »