Support for Sen. Elizabeth Warren has dropped by nearly 10% over the past month, according to the latest Iowa State University/Civiqs poll of Democratic presidential candidates. At the same time, the percentage of likely Iowa caucus-goers who do not want Warren to get the nomination jumped by 5%. CONT. Iowa […] Read more »
Wisconsin: Marquette Law School Poll finds shifts in public opinion favorable to President Trump
Even as hearings that could lead to President Donald Trump’s impeachment heat up, a new Marquette University Law School poll of Wisconsin registered voters finds consistent, if sometimes modest, shifts in public opinion away from support of impeachment and toward supporting Trump in next year’s presidential election. CONT. Charles Franklin, […] Read more »
What Democrats Need to Know to Win Latinos
By the evidence of the Democratic primary so far, it’s clear that no leading Democratic candidate has any idea of how to engage Latinos. The Latino electorate has always been complex, a reality that Democratic candidates, consultants and election “experts” fail to grasp or simply ignore. … So where could […] Read more »
Analyzing Black Support for President Trump
President Donald Trump recently convened a “Black Voices for Trump” conference in Atlanta. In his speech to those assembled, Trump said: “We’re going to campaign for every last African-American vote in 2020. We’ve done more for African-Americans in three years than the broken Washington establishment has done in more than […] Read more »
What does high voter turnout tell us about the 2020 elections?
While our political system is preoccupied with impeachment and the Democratic primaries, our country is heading toward a massive turnout in the 2020 general election that could transform our politics—and overwhelm our system of election administration. CONT. William A. Galston, Brookings Institution Read more »
The Danger of Elizabeth Warren
… As much as the Warren program has mobilized many Democratic primary voters, polls show that significant numbers of swing voters — wavering Republicans repelled by President Trump and moderate to conservative Democrats — do not share Warren’s appetite for major structural change, preferring incremental change and the repair of […] Read more »