… In a new national CNN poll released Tuesday morning, only 42% of seniors from all races approved of either the President’s handling of the coronavirus outbreak or his overall job performance. On both counts, that was his lowest rating among any group except adults 34 and younger — traditionally […] Read more »
Are State Polls Any Better Than They Were in 2016?
To most, Joe Biden’s clear lead in recent state polls suggests that he has the early edge in the race for the presidency. To others, it’s not so meaningful. After all, Hillary Clinton also held a clear lead in the state polls, and yet Donald J. Trump won the election. […] Read more »
Most Americans Favor Voting by Mail as Option in November
While most Americans (64%) favor their state allowing all voters to vote by mail or absentee ballot, differences arise among key demographic subgroups. Eighty-three percent of Democrats say they favor such a measure, but fewer than half as many Republicans, 40%, express the same sentiment. CONT. Mohamed Younis, Gallup The OPINION […] Read more »
Americans, Not Politicians, Will Decide When We Reopen
All but a dozen states are in some phase of reopening from COVID-19 related shutdowns, and forecasts of the pandemic’s toll in the U.S. have correspondingly increased death projections due to the virus. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew discusses whether there is an overarching plan […] Read more »
Trump, Biden gear up for battle in Florida, where coronavirus isn’t the only thing on voters’ minds
… Interviews with Floridians — as well as numerous current and former lawmakers, political strategists, politics watchers and academics in Florida — paint a picture of a battleground state largely unmoved by the Trump administration’s disjointed pandemic response and Biden’s myriad proposals to handle things differently. Unlike in Pennsylvania, a […] Read more »
Biden’s lead is the steadiest on record
… Biden’s advantage is the steadiest in a race with an incumbent running since at least 1944. That could mean it’ll be harder to change the trajectory of the race going forward, though this remains more than close enough that either candidate could easily win. To know this, I went […] Read more »