This close to an election, who do I want to hear from? Nate Silver, of course. I sat down with the FiveThirtyEight founder and math wizard to talk about how he builds his forecasting models, what they’re saying about 2018, how big the Democrats’ structural disadvantage in the House and […] Read more »
CNN Poll: Democrats up in Florida with two weeks to go
As the final two weeks of campaigning begin, Democrats hold an edge in both the gubernatorial and Senate contests in the key state of Florida, according to a new CNN Poll conducted by SSRS. Democratic nominee Andrew Gillum holds a wide 12-point edge over his Republican opponent Rep. Ron DeSantis […] Read more »
Democrats Need Latinos at the Polls. But Will They Turn Out?
… With the hard-fought midterm elections less than three weeks away, Democratic Party strategists hope Latino voters who are angered by the Trump administration’s policies and divisive language will help deliver resounding victories in many of the races that will decide political control in Washington. If ever there were a […] Read more »
Why the 2018 Election Won’t ‘All Come Down to Turnout’
The claim that an upcoming election “all comes down to turnout” is one of the most venerable clichés in American punditry. But it’s become more popular than ever in an era when the mass public is commonly characterized as consisting of two implacable partisan tribes, equally unshakable in their preferences […] Read more »
NBC/WSJ Poll: Democrats hold 9-point advantage for midterm elections
Fueled by increased enthusiasm from women, Latinos and young voters for the upcoming midterm election, Democrats hold a 9-point lead among likely voters over Republicans in congressional preference, according to the latest national NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll. But nearly two weeks before Election Day, the same poll also shows […] Read more »
For President Trump, it’s 2016 all over again
If you haven’t looked up recently, President Trump is everywhere. He is campaigning across the country at a frenetic pace. … No president in modern memory has done what Trump is doing right now. Despite an approval rating that has been underwater since the start of his presidency, he has […] Read more »