Democratic strength in mostly white, well-educated suburbs has stretched the Republican House majority to the breaking point. The good news for Republicans is it’s not clear that their majority has actually broken yet. The good news for Democrats is that the midterm playing field is big and diverse. There are […] Read more »
House Midterm Outlook: Look for a Democratic Flip
Are we still headed for a Democratic wave in the House next month? That all depends on how you define a wave. But one thing is clear: Democrats are still likely to flip the chamber even after all the buzz about a post-Kavanaugh Republican bounce. CONT. Stuart Rothenberg, Roll Call Read more »
Battleground House districts remain close in new poll
The contest for control of the House remains close and hard fought, according to a new Washington Post-Schar School poll of the most-contested districts in the country, with Democrats holding a statistically insignificant lead over Republicans. The latest survey shows only a marginal change in the race during October, with […] Read more »
The tables have turned on health care in 2018
No policy decision during former President Barack Obama’s first two years contributed more to the Democratic loss of the House of Representatives in 2010 than the party’s drive to pass the Affordable Care Act. Now, no policy decision in President Trump’s first two years is boosting Democratic hopes of recapturing […] Read more »
Poll: Runoff is very possible in Mississippi Senate race
The free-for-all special Senate election in Mississippi has a strong chance of heading to a November 27 runoff, where appointed Sen. Cindy Hyde-Smith, R-Miss., would have early the advantage, according to a new NBC News/Marist poll of the state. CONT. Mark Murray, NBC News Read more »
What Could Hold Back a Democratic Wave? Economy, Confidence, Independence.
… Lost in all the talk about a Democratic blue wave is a set of sober reality checks — from the quantifiable to the emotional — that may help Republicans reduce their losses, and possibly even retain their 23-seat majority. In many neighborhoods with key House races, daily life is […] Read more »