In one of the most anticipated announcements of the cycle, Republican Gov. Rick Scott confirmed today that he will challenge Democratic U.S. Sen. Bill Nelson in November. Scott’s decision puts the contest into the Toss Up column. Very few candidates could wait until 211 days before an election to announce […] Read more »
President Trump, Twitter and the News Media
If President Trump wants to keep a Republican Congress after 2018, he needs to tweet less about people who offend him (the media, Jeff Bezos, Mueller, etc.) and focus more on the economy and things that help everyday Americans. Frank Luntz .@FrankLuntz: “It’s [@POTUS‘s] own tweets that are causing so […] Read more »
Republicans Seize on Impeachment for Edge in 2018 Midterms
As Republican leaders scramble to stave off a Democratic wave or at least mitigate their party’s losses in November, a strategy is emerging on the right for how to energize conservatives and drive a wedge between the anti-Trump left and moderate voters: warn that Democrats will immediately move to impeach […] Read more »
How millennials and gun control can change the 2018 midterm landscape
There continues to be public outrage in the United States over gun violence in educational institutions. The shootings at Marjory Stoneman Douglas High School in Parkland, Florida killed 17 people and injured 17 more, yet members of Congress refuse to take meaningful action to improve the situation. Efforts to strengthen […] Read more »
Farmers’ Anger at Trump Tariffs Puts Republican Candidates in a Bind
As President Trump moves to fulfill one of the central promises of his campaign — to get tough on an ascendant China — he faces a potential rebellion from a core constituency: farmers and other agricultural producers who could suffer devastating losses in a trade war. … While the battle […] Read more »
How to Handicap the Race for the Senate
The toughest question for me this election cycle is which party, if either, will gain Senate seats. With the obvious caveat that things can change between now and Nov. 6, it’s reasonably clear that Republicans in the House are going to have a tough election. The question is whether it […] Read more »