President Trump’s surprise victory and divisive governing style have galvanized Democrats in ways the party could have only dreamed of in the Obama years, when enthusiasm for its candidates sagged whenever Barack Obama was not on the ballot. There is perhaps no better illustration of Mr. Trump’s impact on the […] Read more »
April House Overview: Ratings Changes in 13 Districts
The good news for Republicans is that President Trump’s approval rating has, on balance, ticked up from 38 percent to 40 percent since January as attention has shifted from unpopular GOP proposals on healthcare and taxes to the economy, tariffs and Stormy Daniels. Commensurately, Democrats’ lead on the question of […] Read more »
Democrats’ victory parade looks like it will hit a wall in Arizona
The press has focused a lot on special and other elections that seem to be going the Democratic Party’s way. Last month, it was Democrat Conor Lamb’s victory in Pennsylvania’s 18th congressional district. This week it was liberal candidate Rebecca Dallet’s win in the Wisconsin Supreme Court election. Later this […] Read more »
Mirror images of partisan vulnerability in Senate and gubernatorial races
With Mississippi now hosting two Senate races this year, 2018’s Senate and gubernatorial races have achieved something of a mirror-image symmetry. On the Senate front, Democrats are defending 26 seats (including two independents who caucus with Democrats from Maine and Vermont) while the Republicans, even with the addition of a […] Read more »
Dems, GOP using immigration in House races, but differently
Both Democrats and Republicans think the stalemate between President Donald Trump and Congress over immigration can help them in November’s congressional elections. Each could be right. In House races across the country, both parties are using the fight over immigration — fanned by tweets from President Donald Trump about a […] Read more »
The politics of ACA rate hikes will be 2016 in reverse
We are about to see a replay of the 2016 election fight over premium increases, but this time in reverse. Last time, it was the Republicans hammering Democrats for the rate hikes. This time, it will be Democrats accusing Republicans of driving up premiums by sabotaging the Affordable Care Act. […] Read more »