For most of a year now, the data and underlying dynamics of the political environment has pointed to a very close election that may well be decided by which Presidential candidate makes a more compelling case to voters that their Presidency will both change the direction of the country, and […] Read more »
Interpreting Romney’s Bounce
… A few weeks ago, I wrote that a Romney comeback would be unprecedented, even though the race was within five points. I hope election watchers properly appreciate Romney’s achievement as a first in the history of presidential politics. His bounce is far more impressive than Kerry’s four years ago, […] Read more »
Latest Gallup/USA Today Numbers: Some thoughts from Joel Benenson, Obama campaign pollster
The latest Gallup USA Today Battleground survey showing President Obama and Governor Romney tied with women in battleground states (48-48) is an extreme outlier, defying the trends seen in every other battleground and national poll. This result underscores deep flaws in Gallup’s likely voter screen. Only 2 years ago the […] Read more »
Voters Divided Over Who Will Win Second Debate
On the eve of Tuesday night’s second presidential debate at Hofstra University, voters are divided as to which candidate they think will do the better job: 41% say Obama will do better, while 37% expect Romney to prevail. This stands in stark contrast to expectations prior to the first presidential […] Read more »
Romney Holds Serve Among Obama Independents
Resurgent Republic sponsored two focus groups in Milwaukee, Wisconsin, among Independent voters who supported Barack Obama in 2008 and are not strongly affiliated with either candidate today. … In 2008 President Obama won Independents by 52 to 44 percent. As Resurgent Republic first noted in the spring of 2009, swing […] Read more »
Obama Losing Lead Among Florida Latino Voters
If two new polls are to be believed, Republican Mitt Romney is making up some serious ground among Hispanic voters in Florida. [cont.] Jordan Fabian, Univision Read more »