Mitt Romney leads President Obama by five percentage points among likely voters in the nation’s top battlegrounds, a USA TODAY/Gallup Poll finds, and he has growing enthusiasm among women to thank. As the presidential campaign heads into its final weeks, the survey of voters in 12 crucial swing states finds […] Read more »
Why Wisconsin Could Be the Key to a Romney Victory
… If I were Romney’s campaign manager, I would tell Ryan to spend most of the next three weeks—morning, noon, and night—visiting every city, town, and hamlet in Wisconsin. And if my internal polls had Obama’s margin down to (say) one point with three or four days until the election, […] Read more »
8 deep(ish) thoughts on the Washington Post-ABC poll
If you love political polls, you are living in a golden age. The new Washington Post-ABC News poll came out last night at midnight and it is absolutely chockfull of goodies. (If you, like us, define “goodies” as interesting data points. You do, right? Right?) We’ve scoured the data — […] Read more »
Getting to the bold policy offer winning now requires
The campaign has reached a tipping point where we believe the president has to offer a bold narrative, policies and choice if he is to win re-election and get to a substantial enough victory that enables him to govern and face the great challenges ahead. The first debate really did […] Read more »
No More Industrial Revolutions?
The American economy is running on empty. That’s the hypothesis put forward by Robert J. Gordon, an economist at Northwestern University. Let’s assume for a moment that he’s right. The political consequences would be enormous. … For Obama, the argument that the America has run out of string is politically […] Read more »
Enthusiasm Rises for Romney; Obama Has a ‘Right-Track’ Retort
Rising enthusiasm and declining anxiety mark an energy boost among Mitt Romney’s supporters since he prevailed in the first presidential debate. But a persistent sense he’d favor the wealthy, combined with easing discontent with the nation’s direction, provide a retort for President Obama, raising the stakes for their second showdown […] Read more »