Fox News Poll: Most think what happens in Ukraine matters to life in U.S.

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Voters remain focused on the war in Ukraine and want the United States to do more.

An overwhelming majority, 85%, says what happens in the war matters to life in the U.S., according a new Fox News national survey released Wednesday. That sense of urgency is unchanged since March, and includes 51% who say it matters a great deal. There also continues to be a desire to help the Ukrainians, with 62% saying the U.S. should do more in their fight against Russia. …

Views on President Biden’s response to the invasion are negative by six points: 44% of voters approve and 50% disapprove. CONTINUED

Dana Blanton, Fox News

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Will Biden’s 2022 midterms be worse than Obama’s in 2010?

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Whether it’s reporters or politicians or D.C. insiders, the question I get asked more than any other is, “How many?” — how many seats will Republicans pick up this fall? Forecasting numbers based on the latest polls is never a good idea, but certainly the trend lines are heading in the right direction for the GOP.

Monday night’s bombshell Supreme Court leak notwithstanding, the economy will still likely be the most important issue this fall and will decide the electoral outcome for both parties, and, with it, control of Congress. That’s not to say the abortion issue isn’t important to people on both sides, but two recent surveys put this divisive issue in perspective. CONTINUED

David Winston (Winston Group), Roll Call

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Do Americans Support Abortion Rights? Depends on the State.

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A majority of Americans believe that abortion should be legal in all or most cases. But the story is more complicated in the states where the future of abortion policy is likely to be decided if — as is now expected — the Supreme Court overturns Roe v. Wade.

In the states poised to put in new restrictions on abortion, people tend to say that abortion should be mostly or fully illegal, based on a New York Times analysis of large national surveys taken over the last decade. CONTINUED

Nate Cohn, New York Times

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With Roe Gone, the War Over Abortion Will Go Nuclear

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… Citing polls that show a clear majority in favor of maintaining Roe, some progressives see this fall’s midterms as a chance to elect more allies to the House and Senate to put a bill on President Joe Biden’s desk that in effect legislates the protections of Roe — a process even this Supreme Court might find hard to strike down.

Here’s the problem: The reaction to the end of Roe may not be what proponents hope it will be. …

The same polarization that has effectively weeded out pro-abortion rights Republicans and anti-abortion Democrats in Washington means that GOP candidates will be positioning themselves harder and harder to win the support of social conservatives, for whom “leave it to the states” will be weak tea.

The argument here is not that abortion will sweep Republicans into power in Congress this fall; it’s that the historical drag on Democrats, Biden’s weak approval ratings and the possibility of energized voters on both side of the abortion issue will produce a GOP Congress in November, whose members will be disposed — out of conviction or political pressure — to vote for a national ban. CONTINUED

Jeff Greenfield, Politico Magazine

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CNN Poll: Most Americans have a dismal view of the US economy

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The US public’s view of the nation’s economy is the worst it’s been in a decade, a new CNN Poll conducted by SSRS finds, with many Americans also saying they feel financial strain in their own lives.

That pessimism also reflects on President Joe Biden, whose ratings for handling the economy remain sharply negative. A majority of US adults say his policies have hurt the economy, and 8 in 10 say the government isn’t doing enough to combat inflation. …

Americans are more positive about their own finances than they are about the economic situation nationally: 53% say they’re satisfied with their personal financial situation, down from 66% in 2016. Yet 41% say they’re worse off than they were a year ago, with just 23% saying their finances have improved in that time. CONTINUED

Jennifer Agiesta & Ariel Edwards-Levy, CNN

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The Supreme Court Appears Likely to Strike Down Roe v. Wade. Voters Are Most Likely to Say It Should Be Upheld

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Voters are increasingly likely to say the Supreme Court should not overturn Roe v. Wade, according to a new Morning Consult/Politico survey that comes as a leaked draft of the high court’s ruling to strike down the landmark 1973 decision reverberates across the country.

The survey was conducted the day after news broke that the court plans to overturn Roe, which established federal abortion rights, and indicates that relatively few voters believe the ruling should be reversed entirely (28%). CONTINUED

Gaby Galvin, Morning Consult

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