Big majority of Texans say law enforcement could have done more to stop Uvalde mass shooting

A month after the school shooting in Uvalde, Texans are overwhelmingly critical of law enforcement’s response to the shooting, and a majority feel it’s important to investigate their response. Most Texans are concerned about another mass shooting. Texans rate Gov. Abbott’s response to Uvalde more negatively than positively. …

Texans broadly support background checks and having a minimum age of at least 21. There is majority backing for a “red flag” law in Texas and a ban on the AR-15, but more division among Texans on these measures. …

Despite his low approval marks, early polling shows Greg Abbott with an eight-point lead over Democratic challenger Beto O’Rourke, if the election for governor of Texas were held today. CONTINUED

CBS News


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Fox News Poll: Pride in US down significantly

National pride is down, with majorities of Republicans and independents and nearly half of Democrats feeling dissatisfied with their country, according to the latest Fox News survey.

The poll, released Thursday, asks registered voters, “are you proud of the country today,” to which just 39% say “yes.” That is down 12 points from June 2017 (the last time the question was asked) and 30 points since June 2011.

While the question has only been asked four times, this marks the first time a majority feels disappointed in the country: 56% aren’t proud, up from 45% in 2017 and 28% in 2011. CONTINUED

Victoria Balara, Fox News


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Just How Strong Will The Winds Be Blowing This Fall?

… The overturning of Roe v. Wade has raised the stakes of this election for Democratic-leaning voters like no other issue has yet to do this cycle. For the first time in 50 years, the debate about abortion access is not ‘theoretical.’ It is also not a “one-off issue.” The impact of this decision will be felt for months to come as clinics are closed, lawsuits are filed, and new state laws are passed. Tagging a GOP-opponent as an “extremist” on abortion, is likely to be a more effective cudgel for Democrats than trying to attach them to Donald Trump. …

Even so, Republicans are benefiting from a significant tailwind this cycle, driven almost entirely by concerns over inflation and rising prices. The overturning of Roe v Wade hasn’t shifted the wind in a different direction, but it is likely to reduce the intensity of that tailwind by a few knots. CONTINUED

Amy Walter, Cook Political Report with Amy Walter


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How Americans feel about abortion post-Roe, and what they want to happen next

Last Friday, the Supreme Court issued a decision in the case of Dobbs v. Jackson Women’s Health Organization that overturned Roe v. Wade and eliminated the constitutional right to abortion in the United States. An Economist/YouGov Poll fielded in the four days following the ruling finds that nine in 10 Americans have heard something about the decision. While Americans are divided on the outcome of the case, more disapprove (50%) than approve (42%). CONTINUED

Kathy Frankovic & Taylor Orth, YouGov


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Has Abortion Changed the Subject in the Minds of Enough Voters?

Anyone who’s sure they know what the midterm-election implications of the events over the last few weeks will be is a) a fool, b) a cheerleader, c) really new to politics, or d) some combination of those. Until there is a whole lot more polling data, certainty is folly.

A pair of U.S. Supreme Court rulings ignited a firestorm. One decision reversed the Court’s landmark 1973 Roe v. Wade decision that protected the ability of women to obtain abortions in many circumstances. The other overturned a New York City law that put strict limits on private citizens carrying guns outside the home, opening the door for challenges to other gun laws elsewhere. …

Sooner or later, abortion and guns may very well bite Republicans on the rear end. But my money is on later, and not until the economy is in the same time zone as normal. If President Biden’s job-approval rating were at 50 percent and the economy was doing fine, I would be a lot more convinced that we are witnessing a game-changing event. As it is, inflation is at a 40-year high and the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index is at its lowest level since it began in 1966. CONTINUED

Charlie Cook


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Is Biden a Man Out of Time?

The White House’s response to last week’s Supreme Court decision overturning Roe v. Wade, which in 1973 established a constitutional right to abortion, once again has exposed the tension between the conciliatory instincts President Joe Biden developed during his long career in Washington, D.C., and the ferocity of the modern combat between the two major political parties.

An array of frustrated Democrats this week openly complained that Biden and other administration officials had failed, in their initial reactions to the ruling, to reflect the urgency and anguish of abortion-rights supporters. Although Biden quickly denounced the decision last week, he has avoided any broader condemnation of the Court’s direction or legitimacy and dismissed proposals for changing its structure. Biden’s aides have stressed the limits of what the executive branch can do to mitigate the impact of the ruling. …

Even many of Biden’s critics agree that his establishment pedigree, and his promises to unify the country and work with Republicans, contributed to his victory over Trump. He reassured, they concede, many center-right voters who might have preferred the former president’s policies but recoiled from his belligerent personality and style. But to frustrated Democrats, the administration’s cautious response to the abortion decision is further evidence that Biden’s roots in an earlier political order have left him slow to acknowledge, much less respond to, the radicalization of the Trump-era GOP. The growing chorus among the president’s internal critics is that even if Biden was the right man for beating Trump, he has become the wrong man for combatting Trumpism. CONTINUED

Ronald Brownstein, The Atlantic


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