Why Republicans should be nervous about their candidates for governor

Thanks to the Supreme Court, the battle for control of the House and Senate isn’t the only major story in this year’s midterm elections. Now there is renewed focus on the states, where a handful of gubernatorial races could change the balance of power between the parties and determine the future of abortion and voting rights, not to mention influencing who is elected president in 2024. …

Roughly half a dozen states — not surprisingly, they are the states that decided the 2020 presidential election and are likely to decide the 2024 race, as well — have competitive contests for governor. Republicans’ hopes of expanding their hold on state government will hinge on the outcomes. But the GOP’s chances will be affected by the quality of its candidates — and right now, that’s a potential problem. CONTINUED

Dan Balz, Washington Post


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America is leading the world backward

If President Joe Biden hoped to reassure friends and allies that America was ready to lead the charge as a champion of human rights and democracy, the U.S. Supreme Court had other ideas. A series of radical rulings makes America’s exhortations about promoting democracy ring hollow. …

Each of these decisions raises questions about whether our system really is a democracy by and for the people. Six unelected, unaccountable individuals have managed to take fundamental rights away from Americans, nullify laws and legal precedent that have existed for generations, and impose outcomes that most Americans oppose. …

As we round the corner for America’s Fourth of July celebration, the American experiment isn’t looking so promising anymore. CONTINUED

Elizabeth Shackelford & Dina Smeltz (Chicago Council on Global Affairs), Chicago Tribune


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White Americans see an increase in discrimination against other white people and less against other racial groups

Polling suggests that white and Black Americans are coming from different positions on discrimination. DigitalVision Vector/Getty Images

Stella Rouse, University of Maryland and Shibley Telhami, University of Maryland

Despite largely holding the political, economic and social levers of power, nearly a third of white Americans say they have seen “a lot more” discrimination against white people in the past five years – and more than half of them say they have not seen a rise in discrimination against Black and Latino Americans.

A May 2022 University of Maryland Critical Issues Poll further found that a majority of white Americans do not believe that there has been a rise in discrimination against minority groups.

In stark contrast, the poll found a large majority of Black Americans believe they have been on the receiving end of discrimination.

That many white Americans, the dominant racial group in U.S. society, see more discrimination against other white people than those who have historically endured this treatment is troubling.

In our view as scholars of public opinion and identity politics, these grievances have been at the heart of conservative GOP politics and at their extreme have played a role in mass shootings such as the one in Buffalo in which 10 Black people were killed, allegedly by an 18-year-old white supremacist, or the violent assault that occurred on Jan. 6, 2021, at the U.S. Capitol.

Empathy gaps among racial groups

The poll was conducted between May 6 and May 16, 2022, by polling firm Nielsen Scarborough from a nationally representative sample of 2,091 respondents, with a margin of error of plus or minus 2.14.

The poll asked questions on how much more discrimination exists now than in the past against different minority groups, and whether different minority groups weaken or strengthen American society.

The results are striking.

There is a clear empathy gap across racial and ethnic groups.

While white Americans say they have seen an increase in discrimination against other whites, they say at the same time that other groups, including Black and Latino Americans, have been less discriminated against.

In stark contrast, Black and Latino Americans say their groups have been discriminated against while also saying that other groups have also been highly discriminated against.

In the case of Latino Americans, they believe that Asians have been discriminated against even more than their own group.

The empathy gap is even larger when viewed through political partisanship, especially among white and Latino Americans.

Assessing racial experiences

We examined responses among white, Black and Latino people to the following question: “Compared to five years ago, and based on your own experience, including interactions with others, how much racial/ethnic/religious discrimination, if any, would you say exists against each of the following groups?”

We found that 3 in 10 white respondents – 30.1% – say that white Americans experienced “a lot more” discrimination in the past five years.

In comparison, 28.9% of white respondents said Asian Americans experience “a lot more” discrimination, 21.7% said the same of Jewish Americans, 20.4% about Black Americans, 19.7% about Muslim Americans and 14.7% about Latino Americans.

But over half of Black Americans – 53.2% – say that their group has encountered “a lot more” discrimination in the past five years, compared with 38.9% of Black respondents who said the same about Asian Americans, 33.3% about Latino Americans, 29.3% about Muslim Americans, 23.7% about Jewish Americans and 13% about white Americans.

More Latino people say they saw “a lot more” discrimination against Asian people than against other groups. Nearly 2 in 5 – 38.7% – of Latino respondents said that “a lot more” discrimination exists against Asian Americans than five years ago. That number compares with 41.2% who said the same about Black Americans, 34.5% about Latino Americans, 33.5% about Muslim Americans and 20% about Jewish Americans.

Notably, and unlike white and Black people, Latino Americans say that both Black and Asian people have endured “a lot more” discrimination in the past five years than their own group.

Perceptions of contributions to American society

We also gauged people’s opinions about whether they thought Black Americans, Asian Americans, Latino Americans, Muslim Americans and Jewish Americans strengthened or weakened American society.

The findings show that a majority of white, Black and Latino people believe that all these groups strengthen American society, with one exception.

Only 40.1% of white Americans believe that Muslim Americans strengthen American society.

Slightly more than 20% of white people say that Muslim Americans weaken traditional American values and customs, the highest expression of this negative sentiment for any group.

A lower percentage of white people view Black Americans – 12.4% – and Latino Americans – 9.8% – as weakening American values and customs in comparison with these attitudes about Muslim Americans.

Both Black Americans – 67% – and Latino Americans – 74.1% – view their groups as having the greatest effect in strengthening American society.

Notably, 54.6% of Black Americans view Latinos as strengthening American society, and 61.1% of Latino Americans say the same about Blacks.

Impact of partisanship

Americans are deeply divided along partisan lines, and this division can be seen on most issues.

But does this divide also affect racial and ethnic groups’ attitudes?

To be sure, there are significant overlaps.

Most Black and Latino Americans are Democrats, and far more white Americans identify as Republicans than as Democrats.

But while Black Americans overwhelmingly identify as Democrats, about a quarter of Latinos identify as Republicans, and the Republican Party mostly comprises white voters.

We examined the extent to which partisanship helps explain racial and ethnic identity on attitudes about other groups.

The findings were revealing. White Democrats are closer in their views on race to Black and Latino Democrats than they are to white Republicans.

White Democrats are more likely to perceive greater discrimination against other groups than they did five years ago.

Latino Republicans are closer to white Republicans than they are to Latino Democrats.

About two-thirds of Black Republicans – 65% – and a third of Latino Republican respondents – 33% – perceive “a lot more” discrimination against white Americans than five years ago. However, we are careful not to draw strong conclusions from our Black Republican sample, as it is relatively small in our survey.

Partisanship also plays an important role in accounting for differences in the perceived value of minority groups in society among white, Latino and Black Americans.

In contrast, over two-thirds of white Democrats say that all five groups strengthen American society. White Republicans are much less likely to say any of the five minority groups strengthen American society.

A higher percentage of Latino Republicans view minority groups as strengthening America than do white Republicans. But this view among Latino Republicans lags in comparison with Latino Democrats.

The Black Republicans who did respond expressed strong sentiments about the idea that minority groups strengthen American society – a view that goes against trends among white Republicans.

Black Republican responses look more similar to those of Black Democrats.

This finding requires further investigation with a larger sample of Black Republicans.

Democratic values

It is worth acknowledging that party affiliation has become partly a reflection of one’s identity and comfort with certain positions, especially about one’s place in American society.

In other words, partisanship has become an identity in and of itself.

Our findings may point to the difficulty in having conversations about race relations that start from a common perspective, and engaging in meaningful action that will strengthen American democracy.

A notable result from our poll is the empathy exhibited by groups who have historically experienced high degrees of discrimination.

Black and Latino Americans have similar perceptions about discrimination.

More importantly, they support the idea that a democratic America embraces all its constituents and view all minority groups as being a strength rather than a weakness – a view not as strongly shared by white Americans.


Stella Rouse, Professor of Government and Politics and Director of the Center for Democracy and Civic Engagement, University of Maryland and Shibley Telhami, Anwar Sadat Professor for Peace and Development, University of Maryland

This article is republished from The Conversation under a Creative Commons license. Read the original article.


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Texans think their state is better than most, but some think it’s changing for the worse

Most Texans take pride in their state, with three in 10 saying it’s better than most other states, and another three in 10 who think it’s the best state in the country to live in. They like the food, and they like the diversity of its people, and many see positive aspects in its values and culture, as well as its economy and businesses. …

The idea of Texas becoming a more racially diverse population is viewed, on balance, as making things in Texas better rather than worse, and this is true of both White and non-White Texans alike, as well as Texans of all ages. CONTINUED

Fred Backus, Jennifer De Pinto & Anthony Salvanto, CBS News


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The Christian Right is winning in court while losing in public opinion

There’s an influential minority of Americans who envision the United States as a Christian nation. Lately, this group has been making significant progress in its mission. Recent rulings from the U.S. Supreme Court reversing Roe v. Wade and protecting prayer in schools are chief among these victories.

These legal wins for the Christian Right, though, are happening at a time when a growing majority of Americans are strongly opposed to their views.

“This is the most disproportionate power that the Christian Right has had in my lifetime,” says Robert Jones, CEO and founder of the Public Religion Research Institute — a nonpartisan group that conducts research on the intersection of politics, culture and religion. CONTINUED

Ashley Lopez, NPR News


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In the wake of the Dobbs ruling, more Americans are citing abortion or women’s rights as priority issues

On June 24, 2022, the Supreme Court overturned Roe v. Wade, eliminating the constitutional right to an abortion after almost 50 years and leaving each state to set its own abortion laws. In the wake of the decision, more Americans are citing abortion or women’s rights as priority issues for the federal government to address than in any year since 2015. And more women and Democrats believe abortion should be legal in all cases compared to a year ago. …

The court’s decision to overturn Roe v. Wade was announced while the survey was in the field. Forty-three percent of the interviews were conducted before the announcement and 57% afterward. Abortion or women’s rights were mentioned as a top issue among 13% of those taking the survey before the announcement and that climbed to 30% among those taking the survey after the announcement. CONTINUED

AP-NORC Center for Public Affairs Research


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