Most voters don’t want Biden to run again in 2024, and a majority say the same about Trump

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Do voters want a rerun of the 2020 presidential election? Not really. Majorities don’t want either of the major-party candidates to run again. Among registered voters in the latest Economist/YouGov Poll, 59% say President Joe Biden should not run again, and 61% say that former President Donald Trump should not. CONTINUED

Kathy Frankovic, Taylor Orth & Carl Bialik, YouGov

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A new poll lays bare the GOP’s post-Roe dilemmas

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The Supreme Court decision to overturn Roe v. Wade has provided Republicans with some difficult choices on how far to go in curtailing abortion rights across the country. Among the ideas already codified in some states and under consideration elsewhere: banning abortion without exceptions for rape and incest, banning mail-order abortion pills, banning travel across state lines for abortions and even banning abortion nationwide.

A new poll shows that all of these proposals are broadly unpopular with the American public. More interestingly, in many cases, they’re also pretty unpopular among Republicans.

The Public Religion Research Institute is out with one of the first big polls testing abortion views in a post-Roe world. The big takeaway is that caution is the watchword for Republicans who are newly empowered to severely restrict abortion rights. CONTINUED

Aaron Blake, Washington Post

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Support for legal sports betting grows, Post-UMD poll finds

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As states across the country legalize sports betting and online sportsbooks flood sports television with celebrity-backed advertisements, Americans are growing more accepting of the practice, a Washington Post-University of Maryland poll finds.

Four years after the Supreme Court overturned a law that limited sports gambling mostly to Nevada, 66 percent now approve of making betting on professional sporting events legal. That’s up from 55 percent who said the same in 2017, before the Supreme Court decision, and 41 percent in 1993. Support for legalizing betting on college sports is lower: 49 percent approve and 50 percent disapprove. CONTINUED

Ben Strauss & Emily Guskin, Washington Post

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Guns in America

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… Gun violence looms over the American psyche. Around the country this past weekend, people mistook fireworks for gunshots, causing several dangerous stampedes and public panics.

While there is some legislation moving at the federal level, people are afraid. Did you know that gun sales go up after each mass shooting? As NPR/Ipsos polling shows and we’ve discussed, gun reform, in theory, is popular. Yet, here we are, again.

Here are five data points that explore the entangled relationship between America and guns. CONTINUED

Clifford Young & Sarah Feldman, Ipsos

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The Democrats haven’t turned the midterms around yet

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When the Supreme Court released its anticipated decision in Dobbs v. Jackson Women’s Health Organization overturning Roe v. Wade, Democratic leaders were mocked for their immediate response: Ya gotta vote this November.

“That’s all you’ve got?” an incredulous base replied. …

In short order, though, frustration at the knee-jerk “it’s up to you on Election Day” crumpled a bit since, after all, Election Day is the point at which voters can reshape the direction of the country. In the weeks after the Dobbs verdict, some Democrats started to even get hopeful. Would anger at overturning Roe be enough to turn around the historic pattern of midterm elections going against new presidents? Was that an uptick in generic congressional ballot polling? Was enthusiasm surging? CONTINUED

Philip Bump, Washington Post

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Why Liz Cheney is in a lot of trouble in Wyoming

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Rep. Liz Cheney has become an unexpected hero for Democrats. She was one of the few Republicans to vote to impeach President Donald Trump last year, has served as one of his most vocal critics in the GOP and is the vice chair of the House select committee investigating the January 6, 2021, insurrection at the US Capitol.

But we shouldn’t mistake adoring press coverage and bipartisan bona fides for popularity in the place where popularity matters most for Cheney: Wyoming.

A look at the data reveals that Cheney should be regarded as the clear underdog in her efforts to retain her seat. CONTINUED

Harry Enten, CNN

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