President Biden’s Approval Rating Bounces In July — But Not Among This Key Group

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President Joe Biden’s approval rating is seeing a modest rebound in July after sinking to the lowest point of his presidency, but his standing among independents has never been lower, the new IBD/TIPP Poll finds. …

Including the full survey group, 40% of American adults approve how Biden is handling the presidency, and 49% disapprove. That was a step up from 37%-49% in June.

The modest improvement in Biden’s approval was strictly due to a bounce among Democrats. Members of his own party approve of Biden’s job performance by 72%-19%, up from 66%-22% in June, though still down from 76%-12% in May. CONTINUED

Jed Graham, Investor’s Business Daily

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As Latino voters shift right, here’s where Democrats will be hit hardest

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The Democrats have a Latino voter problem.

The remarkable recent shift of Latino voters toward the Republican Party has been broad and significant, though the full story — will it prove “transitory,” to use a word infamously associated with President Biden’s struggles? — is still developing. …

So if Democrats fail to make up ground — or lose more — with Latino voters, where would it hurt most?

Latinos make up a notable chunk of the electorate in many states and districts across the country. But two areas — the Southwest and the big states — show how a Latino surge would help Republicans play both offense and defense. CONTINUED

David Byler, Washington Post

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Broad Public Approval of New Gun Law, but Few Say It Will Do a Lot To Stem Gun Violence

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Americans are largely supportive of the new gun law passed by Congress and signed into law by President Joe Biden on June 25. Nearly two-thirds of U.S. adults (64%) approve of the new gun law, including 32% who strongly approve. Just 21% say they disapprove of the law, including 11% who strongly disapprove; 15% are not sure.

Despite broad support for the new law, however, most Americans are not optimistic it will do much to reduce gun violence in the country: 78% think the new gun law will do a little (42%) or nothing at all (36%) to reduce gun violence. Only 7% say the bill will do a lot, while 14% say they are not sure. CONTINUED

Pew Research Center

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Voters’ Eagerness to Reelect Incumbents Near Lows

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A slim majority of U.S. registered voters, 53%, say their representative in Congress deserves reelection, while 41% disagree. The percentage endorsing reelection is similar to what Gallup has measured in its final preelection reading in most recent midterm election years, ranging from 50% in 2018 to 54% in 2006 — except for 1998 and 2002, when voters were much more positive about reelecting their representative. CONTINUED

Jeffrey M. Jones, Gallup

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Most Democrats Don’t Want Biden in 2024, New Poll Shows

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President Biden is facing an alarming level of doubt from inside his own party, with 64 percent of Democratic voters saying they would prefer a new standard-bearer in the 2024 presidential campaign, according to a New York Times/Siena College poll, as voters nationwide have soured on his leadership, giving him a meager 33 percent job-approval rating.

Widespread concerns about the economy and inflation have helped turn the national mood decidedly dark, both on Mr. Biden and the trajectory of the nation. More than three-quarters of registered voters see the United States moving in the wrong direction, a pervasive sense of pessimism that spans every corner of the country, every age range and racial group, cities, suburbs and rural areas, as well as both political parties. CONTINUED

Shane Goldmacher, New York Times

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Democrats get bounce in polls after Roe v. Wade is overturned

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The idea that “nothing matters” has become a popular refrain in American politics. After all, former President Donald Trump violated all sorts of political norms and barely saw his popularity shift during his presidency.

That’s why a lot of people (myself included) were skeptical that the US Supreme Court overturning Roe v. Wade would have much of an impact on this year’s race for Congress.

But a look at some new polling shows that maybe some things do matter. CONTINUED

Harry Enten, CNN

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