Biden Approval Rating Slips As Gas Prices Fall But Younger Adults Turn Cool

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President Joe Biden’s approval rating has fallen to a four-month low, even as inflation’s bite begins to ease, with gas prices down 35% from their June peak, the December IBD/TIPP Poll finds.

Biden’s job approval rating slipped nine-tenths of a point to 44.6 in the new IBD/TIPP Poll. The IBD/TIPP presidential job approval figure indicates that 44.6% of adults who stated an opinion approve of Biden’s job performance and 55.4% disapprove, in a measure that excludes those who were unsure or declined to say.

Including the full survey group, 40% of American adults approve of how Biden is handling the presidency, and 49% disapprove. CONTINUED

Jed Graham, Investor’s Business Daily

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We Asked Americans To Explain Their 2022 Votes — And How They’re Thinking About 2024

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The 2022 midterms are now in the rearview mirror, but Americans have only begun to process the ramifications on politics and government. …

With all of that in mind, we’re wrapping up our FiveThirtyEight/Ipsos panel survey by looking at which issues drove Americans’ votes in the midterm election as well as their broader attitudes toward politics following the results. This marked the seventh and final wave of our polling collaboration using Ipsos’s KnowledgePanel, and this time we asked the same 2,000 Americans how they felt about the election, what policies the next Congress should pursue and their early views of the potential 2024 presidential candidates. CONTINUED

Geoffrey Skelley & Holly Fuong, FiveThirtyEight

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Gretchen Whitmer Rejected False Choices. All Democrats Should.

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… For Democrats, much of the debate about running in and winning big northern industrial states is that we have to choose a style of campaign. Either we talk to blue-collar voters about issues like economics and manufacturing, or we talk to suburban women about abortion. Either we use progressive issues to turn out our base, or we take moderate positions on issues to persuade people in the middle.

There is a model for running an effective campaign in Michigan and states like it — and it involves rejecting many of these false choices.

Gretchen Whitmer illustrated that model in Michigan this year. With her midterm victory, she has now had two decisive general-election wins in a critical Blue Wall state. CONTINUED

Brian Stryker (Impact Research), New York Times

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Economic Confidence Shows Slight Uptick; Still Negative

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Americans’ assessments of the U.S. economy improved slightly in November and early December but remain decidedly negative. Gallup’s Economic Confidence Index increased from -45 in October to -39 in the latest survey. The index had been as low as -58 in June this year. Americans continue to be less confident about the economy now than they were in 2021 and early 2022. CONTINUED

Jeffrey M. Jones, Gallup

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Young voters’ enthusiasm for Democrats waned during midterms

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Young voters who have been critical to Democratic successes in recent elections showed signs in November’s midterms that their enthusiasm may be waning, a potential warning sign for a party that will need their strong backing heading into the 2024 presidential race.

Voters under 30 went 53% for Democratic House candidates compared with only 41% for Republican candidates nationwide, according to AP VoteCast, a sweeping national survey of the electorate. But that level of support for Democrats was down compared with 2020, when such voters supported President Joe Biden over his predecessor, Donald Trump, 61% to 36%. And in 2018, when Democrats used a midterm surge to retake control of the House, voters 18 to 29 went 64% for the party compared with 34% for the GOP. CONTINUED

Will Weissert & Hannah Fingerhut, Associated Press

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Republicans struggle in the Southwest as Latino voters stick with Democrats

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There’s plenty of evidence that over time, Republicans have gained ground with Latinos in parts of the country, including Florida. But in the Southwest, an inverse trend has taken hold that could have implications for 2024 and beyond. In Nevada, Arizona, New Mexico and Colorado, Latinos have stuck with Democrats, and that has helped power the party’s gains across a region where Latino population growth has exploded.

It belies a conventional narrative that Democrats were universally ceding Latino voters to the Republican Party, a story line repeated throughout the run-up to the Nov. 8 midterms. Instead, indicators show the GOP in danger of losing Latino voters in this region, a prospect that could mean being boxed out of the Southwest for the long term. CONTINUED

Natasha Korecki, NBC News

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