Americans trust that Republicans would do a better job on a key set of issues, with across-the-board, double-digit edges on inflation, the economy, gas prices and crime, according to a new ABC News/Ipsos poll. Inflation sees one of the larger gulfs – with 36% of Americans trusting the GOP and […] Read more »
‘Anger on their minds’: NBC News poll finds sky-high interest and polarization ahead of midterms
Less than three weeks before Election Day, voter interest has now reached an all-time high for a midterm election, with a majority of registered voters saying that this election is “more important” to them than past midterms. What’s more, some 80% of Democrats and Republicans believe the political opposition poses […] Read more »
Both parties think the other will destroy America, NBC News poll finds
The 2022 midterm environment is full of a complicated set of issues. Talk to voters and you’ll hear about inflation and the economy, abortion, the January 6 insurrection and the continued presence of Donald Trump in politics. So what exactly are this year’s midterms about? The poll asked self-identified voters […] Read more »
Over 6 in 10 Americans favor leaving race out of college admissions, Post-Schar School poll finds
More than 6 in 10 Americans support a ban on the consideration of race in college admissions, according to a Washington Post-Schar School poll, but an equally robust majority endorses programs to boost racial diversity on campuses. The findings illuminate the turbulent crosscurrents of public opinion on affirmative action as […] Read more »
The fundamentals and the midterm
The current conventional wisdom is for the midterm to be somewhat better than average for the president’s party in the House. (I set aside the Senate here.) The fundamentals doubt that, as we’ll see. The “fundamentals” provide a helpful baseline, even if “non-fundamentals” such as polling, candidate quality, unique issues, […] Read more »
A Memo to Democrats
The four of us have been around politics a long time. We have been a part of some of the Democratic Party’s biggest victories; we have seen some big losses. In the 2022 election, things are as close as we have ever seen them. But we are right on the […] Read more »