On this week’s episode of Poll Hub, we assess the presidential contest in the battleground states of Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania. What’s different from 2016? Where is Biden’s weakness? We examine the latest NBC News/Marist Polls. Then, we go behind the “what” and look at the “why.” The Marist Poll […] Read more »
Great Lakes states voted against Hillary Clinton; not for Trump
A lot of things had to fall right for Donald Trump to win the presidency in 2016, but the biggest key was his ability to win key northern states that had voted Democratic for several cycles. In particular, Trump flipped Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, which had voted Democratic in every […] Read more »
PollerCoaster2020: Biden Is Winning, Here’s How to Pad His Lead
The story of the 2020 election is often told through the perspective of three groups: Obama-Trump voters, suburban voters that have soured on Trump, and die-hard Trump supporters who frequent diners visited by New York Times political reporters. Don’t get me wrong, at least two of these groups are critical. […] Read more »
Will white women without college degrees torpedo President Trump’s reelection?
Four years ago, white women without college degrees stood shoulder to shoulder with white non-college men even though it was the first time in history that a woman candidate for president headed a major party ticket. This year, however, they are breaking ranks. If Donald Trump loses the 2020 election, […] Read more »
Post-ABC Wisconsin poll shows Biden holding narrow edge over Trump
Former vice president Joe Biden holds a narrow edge in the key battleground state of Wisconsin as President Trump’s law-and-order message has so far failed to translate into significant support or change the dynamic of the race there, according to a Washington Post-ABC News poll. … Trump won the state […] Read more »
Close contest in Wisconsin; in Minnesota, not so much
It’s a close contest in Wisconsin heading into the final seven weeks of the 2020 presidential campaign, while women, suburban residents and independents are among the groups lifting Joe Biden to a substantial lead in Minnesota, according to a pair of new ABC News/Washington Post polls. Views on the economy […] Read more »