If you look at the latest surveys and listen to David Plouffe, who thinks the presidential election is “likely going to be a landslide,” you might think this race is settled. … The problem with this analysis is that the 2016 electorate is unlike those that produced the landslides of […] Read more »
Swing Voters Agree: This Election Stinks
Swing voters have heard little in recent weeks to help them make up their minds on who to support in a presidential race that they say flat out stinks. That was the takeaway from a focus group of a dozen voters who have supported both a Republican and Democratic presidential […] Read more »
9-State Battleground Poll: Trump’s Rustbelt play faltering
Donald Trump’s unpopularity, beliefs, values and leadership qualities are forging a new 2016 battleground for the election of the President and U.S. Senate. Trump and Clinton no longer face symmetric image problems. With 60 percent viewing Trump unfavorably and half of presidential year voters saying they will never vote for […] Read more »
Donald Trump, Hillary Clinton in tight races in battleground states
Battleground states are called battlegrounds for a reason: They’re often close, and 2016 looks like no exception. Hillary Clinton holds narrow leads over Donald Trump across a number of key states of Florida (up three points, 44 to 41 percent); Colorado (Clinton 40 percent, Trump 39 percent); Wisconsin (Clinton up […] Read more »
Democrats see danger signs in states where Clinton has not fully engaged
… In Michigan, Pennsylvania and, to a lesser extent, Wisconsin, an affinity for Trump’s message of economic populism and nationalism has surprised many Democrats. These are big, industrial states they have carried for the past three decades — and where Clinton, so far, has not fully focused. … Particularly striking […] Read more »
Wisconsin More of an Outlier Than a Turning Point
… While Cruz and Sanders are pointing to Wisconsin as the turning point, it’s more likely to be more of an outlier. It does, however, set the narrative for the next two weeks and puts even more pressure on Clinton and Trump to do well in their home/adopted state of […] Read more »