How Trump vs. Clinton would reshape the electoral map

A prospective general election between Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton could significantly alter what states are in play this fall and heighten more than in any recent election the racial, class and gender divisions within the national electorate. After successive campaigns in which President Obama expanded the Democrats’ electoral map […] Read more »

As Hillary Clinton Sweeps States, One Group Resists: White Men

White men narrowly backed Hillary Clinton in her 2008 race for president, but they are resisting her candidacy this time around in major battleground states, rattling some Democrats about her general-election strategy. … “Her most serious relationship problem is with white men, on a policy issue front but also stylistically, […] Read more »

The Future of the Republican Party Rests With Donald Trump

President Obama’s nomination of Merrick Garland to the Supreme Court Wednesday underscores how closely the Republican Party’s future influence over every lever of federal power is now bound to the volatile instincts of Donald J. Trump. … The risks to the GOP if Trump wins its nomination but then falters […] Read more »

A Situation in Which Donald Trump Wins the White House

… The number of white voters Mr. Trump attracts keeps shrinking as a share of the electorate, while the number of nonwhite voters he repels keeps growing, a pattern that helped President Obama retain the White House. Yet few political trends continue in a straight line. Some Democrats have begun […] Read more »

Great Again

Part of the exceptional Donald Trump campaign is his not-so-exceptional slogan, “Make America Great Again.” Demanding and promising a return to Glory Days is centuries-old American theme, shared by both the political right and political left, based on the conviction that today’s America is less than yesterday’s America. Trump channels […] Read more »