The California primary elections on Tuesday might give us a better idea of whether Democrats are headed for a so-called wave election — or whether their recent slide in the generic ballot and the bump in President Trump’s approval rating mean they should worry. The quirks that make the California […] Read more »
California’s top two primary could be a disaster for Democrats. It could be for Republicans as well.
You’re going to hear a lot about something called the “top-two” primary in the lead up to California primary. Tuesday’s contest in the Golden State has been described as a potential “disaster” for Democrats in their march to pick up a net gain of 23 House seats and the majority […] Read more »
2018 primaries see Democratic turnout surge, but GOP shows signs of energy too
In the 13 states that have held primaries so far in 2018, Democrats have seen a surge in turnout that has them confident they’re harnessing discontent generated by President Donald Trump and turning it into political gains. From Georgia to Idaho, from Texas to Pennsylvania, Democrats have consistently voted in […] Read more »
Young People Keep Marching After Parkland, This Time to Register to Vote
The pace of new voter registrations among young people in crucial states is accelerating, a signal that school shootings this year — and the anger and political organizing in their wake — may prove to be more than ephemeral displays of activism. … In addition to the registration figures, new […] Read more »
The Republican Party’s Generational Bet
Representative Martha McSally, the establishment favorite for the Republican Senate nomination in Arizona, took the unusual step this week of removing her name as a co-sponsor of legislation to provide a path to citizenship for the so-called “Dreamers,” young people brought to the U.S. illegally by their parents. … McSally’s […] Read more »
The Numbers Say Dems Still Have an Edge—But Not a Huge One
In both life and politics, things aren’t always quite as straightforward and tidy as we would like. There can be a general agreement on the direction something is headed, but not necessarily on the degree. A month ago this column looked at dueling high-quality polls—one for ABC News and The […] Read more »