California Results Are Consistent With a Competitive House Race

The results of the California top-two primary elections on Tuesday won’t be final for weeks, but the initial returns offer a useful if rough indicator of the general election. Over all, the results were in line with national expectations for November: a competitive, if perhaps Democratic-tilting, race for the House. […] Read more »

Here’s what we’ve learned from the U.S. congressional primaries so far

This year’s congressional primaries looked to be tumultuous for both parties. Democrats are fielding three times as many candidates as they had in 2016. Republican incumbents, meanwhile, were worried that they’d face primary challengers if they antagonized President Trump’s supporters. Slightly less than one-third of the incumbents seeking reelection have […] Read more »

Steve Bannon Is Right About the Midterms — Until He Isn’t

Former Trump campaign chief executive and White House strategist Steve Bannon recently told CNN’s Fareed Zakaria that the midterm elections will be “an up or down vote” on the president. He also asserted that it’s imperative that Donald Trump nationalize the midterm elections. “Trump’s second presidential race will be on […] Read more »

Lockout fears and a potential big night for women are the big stories in Tuesday’s elections

Tuesday is the biggest day of the 2018 primary season so far. Eight states will be voting. This includes California, the most populated state in the union and where most of the attention will be focused. Two of perhaps the three biggest questions heading into tonight will be answered entirely […] Read more »