Republican governors like Greg Abbott of Texas, and more recently Florida’s Ron DeSantis, have been making a habit of sending migrants located in their Sun Belt states to northern Democratic-voting cities. While there may be policy reasons for their decisions, there are clear political considerations as well. Both men, especially […] Read more »
High Floors + Low Ceilings = Tight Races
Don’t be surprised between now and the midterm elections to see most independent political prognosticators being unusually cautious in their pronouncements (those in the partisan cheerleading roles will exhibit their predictable responses). After all, the trajectory of this campaign has already departed that of any midterm election in modern times. […] Read more »
Florida: Gov. DeSantis leads former Gov. Crist 50%-47%; Sen. Rubio has a 49%-47% lead over Cong. Demings
AARP Florida released key findings from a 2022 election survey that shows candidates should pay close attention to Floridians age 50 and older, with issues such as inflation, Social Security and Medicare, and taxes top of mind for these voters. Florida residents 50+ are a crucial voting bloc, consistently showing […] Read more »
Ron DeSantis Is a Test Case
The fact that Ron DeSantis, the governor of Florida, is favored to win re-election is a clear warning to those worried about declining support for democratic institutions and values in the United States. The prospect of DeSantis’s re-election in November suggests that under certain circumstances the American electorate will tolerate, […] Read more »
Californians oppose Biden and Trump running for President in 2024
By a nearly two-to-one margin (61% to 31%) California voters oppose Joe Biden seeking a second term as President in 2024. Republicans are overwhelmingly against the President running again (87% to 9%), while the state’s registered Democrats are evenly split, with 46% in favor and 46% opposed. Despite repeated denials […] Read more »
Liz Cheney’s Kamikaze Campaign
The defiant speech from Representative Liz Cheney of Wyoming after her defeat in yesterday’s Republican primary could be reduced to a single message: This is round one. … The magnitude of Cheney’s defeat yesterday underscores how strong Trump remains within the party, and how little chance a presidential candidacy based […] Read more »