… A few weeks ago, I wrote that a Romney comeback would be unprecedented, even though the race was within five points. I hope election watchers properly appreciate Romney’s achievement as a first in the history of presidential politics. His bounce is far more impressive than Kerry’s four years ago, […] Read more »
Latest Gallup/USA Today Numbers: Some thoughts from Joel Benenson, Obama campaign pollster
The latest Gallup USA Today Battleground survey showing President Obama and Governor Romney tied with women in battleground states (48-48) is an extreme outlier, defying the trends seen in every other battleground and national poll. This result underscores deep flaws in Gallup’s likely voter screen. Only 2 years ago the […] Read more »
Voters Divided Over Who Will Win Second Debate
On the eve of Tuesday night’s second presidential debate at Hofstra University, voters are divided as to which candidate they think will do the better job: 41% say Obama will do better, while 37% expect Romney to prevail. This stands in stark contrast to expectations prior to the first presidential […] Read more »
Romney Holds Serve Among Obama Independents
Resurgent Republic sponsored two focus groups in Milwaukee, Wisconsin, among Independent voters who supported Barack Obama in 2008 and are not strongly affiliated with either candidate today. … In 2008 President Obama won Independents by 52 to 44 percent. As Resurgent Republic first noted in the spring of 2009, swing […] Read more »
Obama Losing Lead Among Florida Latino Voters
If two new polls are to be believed, Republican Mitt Romney is making up some serious ground among Hispanic voters in Florida. [cont.] Jordan Fabian, Univision Read more »
Swing States poll: Women push Romney into lead
Mitt Romney leads President Obama by five percentage points among likely voters in the nation’s top battlegrounds, a USA TODAY/Gallup Poll finds, and he has growing enthusiasm among women to thank. As the presidential campaign heads into its final weeks, the survey of voters in 12 crucial swing states finds […] Read more »