The presidential race appears to be getting closer just two and a half weeks before voters will cast the deciding ballots. And more and more, political analysts are suggesting that it’s a very real possibility that nobody will win on Election Day — i.e. the Electoral College vote will wind […] Read more »
Confused by all the polls? Pollsters explain the variation
As recently as two weeks ago, political prognosticators were looking at polls and declaring, “If Romney would have to pull off a miracle to close the gap in national polling, he has no shot at matching the president in the electoral college.” This week, with Gallup polling showing Mitt Romney […] Read more »
Obama Judged Winner of Second Debate
Americans who report watching the second presidential debate between Barack Obama and Mitt Romney believe Obama did a better job, by 51% to 38%. That is a sharp reversal from the first debate for which Romney was widely regarded as the winner. … The two-day field period after the night […] Read more »
The Possibility of a Popular, Electoral Vote Split is Very Real
Partisans still hoping that their candidate will build a clear lead in the presidential contest are likely to be disappointed. The race seems destined to be a close one, with the outcome remaining in doubt to the very end. … Although history and this column have argued that the popular […] Read more »
Back to Hot Buttons for Obama
… Largely because most college-educated white women hold liberal views on social issues, the Democratic nominee has carried them in four of the past five presidential elections; in 2008, 52 percent of such women backed Obama. Until Denver, national surveys consistently showed him winning a majority of these white-collar women. […] Read more »
Gallup vs. the World
… The Gallup national tracking poll now shows a very strong lead for Mitt Romney. As of Wednesday, he was ahead by six points among likely voters. Mr. Romney’s advantage grew further, to seven points, when Gallup updated its numbers on Thursday afternoon. … Other national polls show a race […] Read more »