Obama holds his lead in Iowa, Wisconsin

With fewer than three weeks until Election Day, new NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist polls show President Barack Obama maintaining his lead over Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney in the battleground states of Iowa and Wisconsin. According to the polls – which were conducted from Monday through Wednesday, encompassing Tuesday’s presidential […] Read more »

LGBT Americans Skew Democratic, Largely Support Obama

Gallup’s landmark study of lesbian, gay, bisexual, and transgender (LGBT) Americans finds that 44% identify as Democratic, 43% as independent, and 13% as Republican. That compares to 32% of non-LGBT Americans who identify as Democratic, 39% as independent, and 30% as Republican. … While 45% of LGBT individuals describe their […] Read more »

Poll Indicates That Immigration Matters to Hispanic Voters in New Mexico

Hispanic voters comprise nearly 40% of the electorate in the state of New Mexico, making New Mexico the state where Latino voters have the greatest influence on the election outcomes. Consequently, many have suggested that New Mexico may provide a glimpse into the future of Latino politics nationally. This context […] Read more »

October Surmise: Predicting The Next President

Predicting a presidential winner is one of America’s favorite pastimes in an election year. Pundits and bloggers rely on introspection and retrospection for their predictions. The politerati prognosticate at Aspen Institute round tables and in the Cambridge Journal. Pollsters crunch survey data to divine a victor. Everybody gets in on […] Read more »