As the two-week period of back-to-back presidential nominating conventions gets underway next Monday, an Aug. 20-22 USA Today/Gallup poll underscores the strengths and weaknesses of each of the two candidates at this point in the campaign. Barack Obama retains a significant edge over Mitt Romney on personal dimensions, particularly in […] Read more »
The New Math
… In 2008, Obama won a combined 80 percent of the votes of all minority voters, including not only African-Americans but also Hispanics, Asians, and others. If Obama matches that performance this year, he can squeak out a national majority with support from about 40 percent of whites—so long as […] Read more »
It Shouldn’t Be Close
… So why isn’t Romney doing better? If we wake up on Nov. 7 to find that Romney has lost—as if the writer or readers of this column would go to bed before the outcome is known—here are four explanations. [cont.] Charlie Cook Read more »
The Gamble
… So … on the eve of the first nominating convention, where does the race stand? Can Barack Obama survive the campaign given the state of the nation’s economy? Our data in The Gamble suggest that although the economy may be growing slowly, it is growing – and historically speaking, […] Read more »
Race for the White House tightens
Less than a week before the Republican convention begins, the race for the White House is a virtual tie. According to a Fox News poll of likely voters, the Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan ticket receives the backing of 45 percent, while the Barack Obama-Joe Biden ticket garners 44 percent. [cont.] Dana […] Read more »
Obama Remains Women’s Presidential Pick; Romney, Men’s
Male voters currently prefer Mitt Romney over Barack Obama by an eight-percentage-point margin, while female voters prefer Obama over Romney by an identical eight points. [cont.] Frank Newport, Gallup Read more »