On the day that both presidential candidates are campaigning in Ohio, a new poll indicates a close contest in the race for the Buckeye State’s 18 electoral votes. According to a CNN/ORC International poll, 51% of likely voters in Ohio say they’re backing President Barack Obama, with 47% supporting Republican […] Read more »
How Good Are Romney’s Postdebate Odds?
By the end of this week, we should have a better idea of the true degree that Mitt Romney’s strong–and President Obama’s weak–debate performance had on this contest. … Romney desperately needed a break, something to change the trajectory of this race, and clearly he got one in the debate. […] Read more »
Romney 49%, Obama 47% Among Likely Voters
Mitt Romney holds a slight edge over Barack Obama — 49% to 47% — in Gallup’s initial “likely voter” estimate, encompassing interviews from Oct. 2-8. Preferences tilt the opposite way among registered voters, 49% vs. 46% in Obama’s favor. Neither result provides a candidate with a statistically significant lead, but […] Read more »
TEMPO: Did the debate give Romney a bump?
TEMPO Research Team at Temple Fox School Both Obama and Romney received a TEMPO bump from the presidential debate on October 3, but that effect quickly dissipated in a few days. [TEMPO is an index that measures the influence of candidates in social, print, and broadcast media.] As of October […] Read more »
Democratic pollster delivers wake up call to Obama
Democratic pollster Stan Greenberg is not known for flinching from delivering bad news to Democratic politicians, and his new diagnosis of Obama’s slippage in the polls is no exception. Greenberg told me in an interview that his new research persuaded him that Mitt Romney beat Obama in the debate for […] Read more »
Partisans line up behind their candidates as election nears
Partisans are falling in line as the election draws closer, with Democrats expressing more positive views of President Obama and Republicans more “strongly favorable” toward Mitt Romney than at any point in the campaign, according to a new Washington Post-ABC News poll. [cont.] Jon Cohen & Peyton M. Craighill, Washington […] Read more »