The 2018 Senate races are important not just for determining the majority next January, but also for setting up both parties for the next election. … If Republicans can net a seat or two this year, it would make their position much stronger in 2020, much like their strong showing […] Read more »
Voter Enthusiasm at Record High in Nationalized Midterm Environment
With less than six weeks to go before the elections for Congress, voter enthusiasm is at its highest level during any midterm in more than two decades. And a record share of registered voters – 72% – say the issue of which party controls Congress will be a factor in […] Read more »
The Controversy Over Kavanaugh Won’t End With a Vote
Even if Senate Republicans “plow right through” the ever-expanding chaos surrounding Brett Kavanaugh, the battle over his Supreme Court nomination is unlikely to end soon. … The Kavanaugh controversy erupted as polls were already showing a threat to GOP candidates this fall, in the form of an intense backlash against […] Read more »
House Rating Changes: Five More Races Move Towards Democrats
Six weeks out, Republican ads aiming to disqualify Democrats early don’t appear to be sticking. House polling — both public and private — was already tenuous for the GOP, but has become noticeably more dire since Labor Day. Independent polls in the last two weeks show Reps. Mimi Walters (CA-45), […] Read more »
Americans Give GOP Slim Edge to Ensure Security, Prosperity
Americans are slightly more inclined to believe the Republican Party would do a better job than the Democratic Party at both keeping the U.S. secure from external threats, and keeping the country prosperous. The GOP holds a six-percentage-point advantage on security, 47% to 41%, and a five-point edge on prosperity, […] Read more »
Will Democrats be brave enough to get to the bluest wave?
The most competitive battleground states are breaking against President Trump and the congressional Republicans, millennials are showing signs of life, disaffected Republicans are fracturing, and voters are angry about corrupt deals for wealthy corporate donors and self-dealing politicians. Something new and fundamental is happening, but will Democrats do what they […] Read more »