Converging crises are compounding the risk that Republicans could suffer historic 2018 losses in suburban communities that could harden a starkly polarized alignment in American politics. Precisely as sexual abuse allegations against Supreme Court nominee Brett Kavanaugh threaten to deepen the GOP’s already cavernous deficit with well-educated white women, the […] Read more »
The Women’s Wave: Backlash To Trump Persists, Reshaping Politics In 2018
… It’s nothing new for women to be politically active — women’s turnout rate has outstripped men’s in every presidential election since 1980, and in every midterm election since 1986. (In terms of raw numbers, women have outvoted men in every national election since at least 1964. These days, that […] Read more »
Republicans wrestle with election impact of Kavanaugh controversy
With Supreme Court nominee Brett Kavanaugh’s confirmation hanging in the balance, Republican operatives are growing increasingly concerned that the controversy is contributing to a larger atmosphere of dysfunction and chaos in Washington that is motivating voters against them in the midterm elections. … An NBC News poll released on Thursday […] Read more »
The Biggest Divides On The Kavanaugh Allegations Are By Party — Not Gender
Americans are deeply divided in how they view accusations of sexual assault, sexual harassment and other kinds of sexual misconduct. They’re divided on broader issues about gender and the role of women in American society. But, with Supreme Court nominee Brett Kavanaugh and Christine Blasey Ford set to testify before […] Read more »
Republican Party Favorability Highest in Seven Years
Forty-five percent of Americans now have a favorable view of the Republican Party, a nine-point gain from last September’s 36%. It is the party’s most positive image since it registered 47% in January 2011, shortly after taking control of the House in the 2010 midterm elections. Forty-four percent give the […] Read more »
‘Geo-Economics,’ Trump and the 2018 Midterms
… With Trump’s job approval rating holding well below the 50% mark, the Republican majority is facing such a strong combination of political, personal and historical headwinds that many political observers think a “blue wave” will sweep Democrats into power in the U.S. Congress for 2019-2020. Trump is not on […] Read more »