Five weeks out, several personally popular Republicans who appeared to be defying the “blue wave” in Clinton-won districts are beginning to see their leads erode. GOP Reps. Carlos Curbelo (FL-26), John Katko (NY-24) and Brian Fitzpatrick (PA-01) led most surveys over the summer but are now prime targets as their […] Read more »
Amid Kavanaugh Confirmation Battle, Democratic Enthusiasm Edge Evaporates
Just over a month away from critical elections across the country, the wide Democratic enthusiasm advantage that has defined the 2018 campaign up to this point has disappeared, according to a new NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist poll. In July, there was a 10-point gap between the number of Democrats and Republicans saying […] Read more »
How Will Kavanaugh Shape the Midterms?
Assuming the FBI investigation of Judge Brett Kavanaugh doesn’t uncover some startling new information, the Senate is likely to confirm him to the Supreme Court and the political effects on the midterms could go in two different directions. … The impact on the fight for the House is likely to […] Read more »
NBC News poll: The South leans Republican in the midterms
Voters in the South are more inclined to support a Republican for Congress and have a favorable view of President Donald Trump than the nation as a whole, according to new NBC News|SurveyMonkey online polls. Across the South, 48 percent would vote for GOP candidates if the midterm election were […] Read more »
Educated white women were already recoiling from Trump. Then came Kavanaugh.
Even before Christine Blasey Ford delivered her controlled but explosive testimony to the Senate Judiciary Committee last week, college-educated white women like her represented a rising threat to Republican prospects in the November election. But Ford’s detailed allegations of sexual assault against Supreme Court nominee Brett Kavanaugh could allow Democrats […] Read more »
Male fury and fear rises in GOP in defense of Kavanaugh
The sexual assault allegations against Supreme Court nominee Brett M. Kavanaugh have sparked a wave of unbridled anger and anxiety from many Republican men, who say they are in danger of being swept up by false accusers who are biased against them. From President Trump to his namesake son to […] Read more »