A Republican winning a US Senate race in deep blue New Jersey? It hasn’t happened since 1972. Yet new polls show Democratic Sen. Bob Menendez in trouble against Republican Bob Hugin. Three high-quality polls released over the last two days give Menendez a lead of anywhere from just 2 to […] Read more »
Senate: Rating Changes in Four Races
Two things tend to happen in the final weeks of an election cycle: a few races that we’ve been watching become more competitive while others that had the potential to become very close recede to safer columns for the party holding the seats. Both are true when it comes to […] Read more »
House GOP Moving Right, Democratic Direction Less Clear
We don’t know exactly how many House seats Democrats will gain in November, though Democratic control of the chamber next year looks almost inevitable. But even now it is clear that the midterm results will move Republicans further to the right. Where the Democrats will stand is less clear. In […] Read more »
Partisanship Trumps Gender: Sexual Harassment, Woman Candidates, Access to Contraception, and Key Issues in 2018 Midterms
Amid the bitter confirmation fight over Judge Brett Kavanaugh’s nomination for the Supreme Court, now hinging on sexual-assault allegations, and the battle for control of Congress, PRRI today released a new survey exploring Americans’ attitudes toward sexual harassment, support for female political candidates, access to contraception, and key issues in […] Read more »
Fox News Poll: Republicans make gains in top Senate races
A new round of Fox News battleground polls shows a Republican trend in the fight for the U.S. Senate. The GOP candidates are helped by increased interest in the election among Republicans and pro-Donald Trump sentiment. There’s been an uptick in GOP interest in all five states surveyed. Compared to […] Read more »
It’s Trump, Not Kavanaugh, Who Will Matter in November
When I first got involved in politics in the 1970s, we had 24-hour news cycles. Today they’re more like 24 minutes, if that. Cable television and news alerts now on our phones have transformed what was a steady trickle of headlines into a fire hose of news and, increasingly, opinion. […] Read more »