A week before the midterm elections, both parties are filled with anxiety. Like football wide receivers who have been blind-sided one time too many, many Democrats are hearing real or imaginary footsteps—residual trauma from the 2016 election, when they thought things were going so well until they didn’t. Similarly mindful […] Read more »
As Midterm Vote Nears, Trump Reprises a Favorite Message: Fear Immigrants
President Trump’s closing argument is now clear: Build tent cities for migrants. End birthright citizenship. Fear the caravan. Send active-duty troops to the border. Refuse asylum. Immigration has been the animating issue of the Trump presidency, and now — with the possibility that Republicans could face significant losses in the […] Read more »
Trump’s Nationalism Is Breaking Point for Some Suburban Voters, Risking G.O.P. Coalition
Two years ago, the presidential election hinged in large part on a rightward shift among working-class whites who deserted Democrats. Tuesday’s House election may turn on an equally significant and opposite force: a generational break with the Republican Party among educated, wealthier whites — especially women — who like the […] Read more »
Democrats Can Get Close To A House Majority With Suburban Seats Alone
This entire election cycle we’ve heard (and even written) that the Democrats’ path to a House majority may lie in the suburbs. Although that summary is a bit simplistic because of the breadth of the House battlefield, an analysis of a recent article from CityLab and FiveThirtyEight’s House forecast suggest […] Read more »
Democrats in prime position to take House, but battleground district poll shows wild cards remain
Democrats maintain a strong position to retake the U.S. House, but the party’s base of less-frequent voters and concerns about illegal immigration stand out as wild cards in the final days before Tuesday’s midterm elections, according to a new Washington Post-Schar School poll of likely voters in battleground congressional districts. […] Read more »
CNN poll: Close Senate races in Florida and Tennessee before Election Day
Florida voters are almost evenly split on both the state’s Senate and gubernatorial contests, while the Senate contest in Tennessee appears to be shifting in the Republican’s favor, according to new CNN polls conducted by SSRS. CONT. Grace Sparks, CNN Read more »