Democrats seized control of the House after the 2018 elections for a fairly straightforward reason: They picked off a number of mostly suburban seats that had been held by Republicans. … Poll: Suburban women are coming back into the Republican Party in droves “because of the Wall and Border Security. […] Read more »
Trump’s Secret to Victory in 2020: Hispanic Voters
… It’s easy to assume that all Hispanic-Americans must detest and disapprove of the president who derides and vilifies immigrants coming across the southern border. But that hasn’t been the reality. Hispanics make up a large, diverse population that does not act as a monolith. As a whole, Hispanic-Americans are […] Read more »
Florida’s ex-felon voting rules slow to impact registration
This past fall, citizens in Florida voted to give most former felons the right to vote and in doing so they may have fundamentally altered the electoral math in the nation’s swingiest perpetual swing state — or … maybe not. CONT. Dante Chinni & Sally Bronston, NBC News Read more »
Democratic States Exceed Republican States by Four in 2018
In 2018, 22 U.S. states were Democratic in party orientation, based on the party preferences or leanings of their residents. Another 18 were Republican and 10 were competitive. That four-state Democratic advantage is typical of what Gallup has found in recent years, though Democrats enjoyed much larger leads in 2008 […] Read more »
Priorities USA: New Poll & Message Guidance on Trump and Initial 2020 Strategy
Donald Trump begins the 2020 cycle under water and in trouble. In our survey of registered voters in seven key presidential battleground states, Trump has a negative job rating of 44% approve/56% disapprove. Only 36% of voters say they are inclined to vote for Trump next year, while 47% say […] Read more »
New Hampshire Poll Shows Potential Problems for Trump a Year Out from 2020 Presidential Primary Season
With nearly 40 percent of likely Republican primary voters in New Hampshire saying they would welcome a primary challenger to President Trump, a new poll by the University of Massachusetts Amherst could highlight potential problems for the president. Thirty-nine percent of likely Republican voters in the Granite State said they […] Read more »