… Acquiescence to Trump is now the defining trait of the Republican Party more than two years into his presidency — overwhelming and at times erasing principles that conservatives viewed as the foundation of the party for more than a half century. … In interviews over the past week, Republicans […] Read more »
Incumbent Problems? The metric used to determine the viability of a primary challenge to a sitting president
Speculation of a Republican primary challenge to President Donald Trump lurks as he prepares for his reelection campaign. In this episode of Poll Hub, we turn a historical eye to incumbent primary challenges and explain why approval rating matters but not in the conventional sense. Then, the number of pets […] Read more »
With Climate Science on the March, an Isolated Trump Hunkers Down
New efforts by President Trump and his staff to question or undermine the established science of climate change have created a widening rift between the White House on one side, and scientific facts, government agencies, and some leading figures in the president’s own party on the other. … Republican pollsters […] Read more »
The GOP is the party of Trump — but not for the reasons anti-Trump conservatives think
… No one who runs against Trump will have any realistic hope of defeating him. Polls consistently show 80 percent or more of Republicans approve of the job he is doing. That figure rises to 93 percent among people who voted for him, according to the most recent Economist-YouGov poll. […] Read more »
Independent Candidate May Have Significant Impact on Democratic Party’s Electoral Fortunes in 2020 Election
Ever since former Starbucks CEO Howard Schultz announced that he is considering making an Independent bid for the presidency, there has been intense interest in how having an Independent on the 2020 ballot might impact the contest between Republican President Donald Trump and the eventual Democratic nominee. The Wason Center […] Read more »
How To Rate A Trump Challenger
One big question about 2020 is whether President Trump will face a serious primary challenger for the Republican presidential nomination. … In the modern presidential primary era, three incumbents have experienced what we’d consider a serious primary challenge: Gerald Ford, Jimmy Carter and George H.W. Bush. And in all three […] Read more »