Although it has received less attention, Trump’s waning support among women with less than a college degree may prove just as important as his eroding support among older voters. As far back as the 2018 midterm elections, commentators began suggesting that support for Trump was dwindling among white non-college women. […] Read more »
In Changing U.S. Electorate, Race and Education Remain Stark Dividing Lines
… With the presidential election on the horizon, the U.S. electorate continues to be deeply divided by race and ethnicity, education, gender, age and religion. The Republican and Democratic coalitions, which bore at least some demographic similarities in past decades, have strikingly different profiles today. A new analysis by Pew […] Read more »
Live or virtual conventions? Texas parties may preview national split
Texas this week will preview the sharp divergence that may lie ahead as the Republican and Democratic parties grapple with the impact of the coronavirus pandemic on the 2020 election. The Texas Democratic Party has transformed its state convention this week into an entirely online event, complete with speeches from […] Read more »
Black Americans Have a Message for Democrats: Not Being Trump Is Not Enough
… Mr. Biden’s win in South Carolina was a turning point for his once-flailing campaign. His support came from across all demographics, but his particular strength was older black voters — people who said the community’s familiarity with and trust of Mr. Biden, combined with his perceived ability to beat […] Read more »
Partisan Differences over the Pandemic Response Are Growing
Americans’ trust in medical scientists has grown since the coronavirus outbreak first upended everyday activities at workplaces, homes and schools across the nation. But there are growing divisions between Republicans and Democrats in the confidence they have in medical scientists. These partisan divides extend to perceptions of the risk posed […] Read more »
GOP operatives worry Trump will lose both the presidency and Senate majority
… Republican strategists are increasingly worried that Trump is headed for defeat in November and that he may drag other Republicans down with him. Seven GOP operatives not directly associated with the President’s reelection campaign told CNN that Trump’s response to the pandemic and the subsequent economic fallout have significantly […] Read more »